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Signals · screen 3

Chase concentration

How much of each set's value sits in its top 3 cards. The higher the share, the more a box of that set is a bet on one to three cards rather than on the set.

53 sets ranked, 6 partial. Top-3 share is the three most valuable cards' share of the set's summed value; HHI is the sum of every card's squared share of set value, from near 0 (spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).

130th CelebrationMega Evolution · 2026 · 161 cards
set value $12,598HHI 0.3095%
2Phantasmal FlamesMega Evolution · 2025 · 130 cards
set value $965HHI 0.4183%
3Lost OriginSword & Shield · 2022 · 217 cards
set value $1,347HHI 0.4078%
4Black & WhiteBlack & White · 2011 · 115 cards
set value $550HHI 0.1974%
5Chaos RisingMega Evolution · 2026 · 122 cards
set value $445HHI 0.1662%
6EX Dragon FrontiersEX Series · 2006 · 101 cards
set value $8,246HHI 0.2160%
7Hidden FatesSun & Moon · 2019 · 69 cards
set value $273HHI 0.1560%
8Pitch BlackMega Evolution · 2026 · 120 cards
set value $542HHI 0.1560%
9Silver TempestSword & Shield · 2022 · 215 cards
set value $898HHI 0.2759%
10Base SetWizards of the Coast (Vintage) · 1999 · 102 cards
set value $2,410HHI 0.1858%
11Celebrations: Classic CollectionSword & Shield · 2021 · 25 cards
set value $412HHI 0.1557%
12Crystal GuardiansEX Series · 2006 · 100 cards
set value $5,590HHI 0.1356%
13Roaring SkiesXY · 2015 · 112 cards
set value $1,786HHI 0.1455%
14Silver Tempest Trainer GallerySword & Shield · 2022 · 30 cards
set value $448HHI 0.1752%
15Brilliant StarsSword & Shield · 2022 · 186 cards
set value $740HHI 0.1552%
16Paldean FatesScarlet & Violet · 2024 · 245 cards
set value $2,464HHI 0.1451%
17Evolving SkiesSword & Shield · 2021 · 237 cards
set value $7,860HHI 0.1250%
18Boundaries CrossedBlack & White · 2012 · 153 cards
set value $3,560HHI 0.1149%
19Surging SparksScarlet & Violet · 2024 · 252 cards
set value $1,095HHI 0.1048%
20StormfrontDiamond & Pearl / Platinum · 2008 · 106 cards
set value $2,292HHI 0.1248%
21Destined RivalsScarlet & Violet · 2025 · 244 cards
set value $1,345HHI 0.1047%
22Lost Origin Trainer GallerySword & Shield · 2022 · 30 cards
set value $531HHI 0.1047%
23Vivid VoltageSword & Shield · 2020 · 203 cards
set value $509HHI 0.1346%
24Black BoltScarlet & Violet · 2025 · 172 cards
set value $3,225HHI 0.0946%
25Prismatic EvolutionsScarlet & Violet · 2025 · 180 cards
set value $4,121HHI 0.1246%
26Emerging PowersBlack & White · 2011 · 98 cards
set value $115HHI 0.0945%
27Twilight MasqueradeScarlet & Violet · 2024 · 226 cards
set value $1,174HHI 0.1045%
28Ascended HeroesMega Evolution · 2026 · 295 cards
set value $3,960HHI 0.0945%
29Neo GenesisWizards of the Coast (Vintage) · 2000 · 111 cards
set value $2,277HHI 0.1045%
30Journey TogetherScarlet & Violet · 2025 · 190 cards
set value $370HHI 0.0942%
31Team RocketWizards of the Coast (Vintage) · 2000 · 83 cards
set value $1,970HHI 0.0841%
32Mega EvolutionMega Evolution · 2025 · 188 cards
set value $1,337HHI 0.0940%
33FossilWizards of the Coast (Vintage) · 1999 · 62 cards
set value $1,211HHI 0.0839%
34Brilliant Stars Trainer GallerySword & Shield · 2022 · 30 cards
set value $640HHI 0.0939%
35Obsidian FlamesScarlet & Violet · 2023 · 230 cards
set value $411HHI 0.0838%
36Hidden Fates: Shiny VaultSun & Moon · 2019 · 94 cards
set value $3,444HHI 0.0838%
37Ultra PrismSun & Moon · 2018 · 178 cards
set value $2,387HHI 0.0737%
38XY EvolutionsXY · 2016 · 113 cards
set value $791HHI 0.0736%
39Diamond & PearlDiamond & Pearl / Platinum · 2007 · 130 cards
set value $1,083HHI 0.0634%
40JungleWizards of the Coast (Vintage) · 1999 · 64 cards
set value $1,103HHI 0.0633%
41Crown Zenith Galarian GallerySword & Shield · 2023 · 70 cards
set value $2,121HHI 0.0533%
42Gym ChallengeWizards of the Coast (Vintage) · 2000 · 132 cards
set value $3,124HHI 0.0633%
43Scarlet & Violet — 151Scarlet & Violet · 2023 · 207 cards
set value $1,609HHI 0.0631%
44Crimson InvasionSun & Moon · 2017 · 126 cards
set value $503HHI 0.0531%
45Neo DestinyWizards of the Coast (Vintage) · 2002 · 113 cards
set value $9,929HHI 0.0630%
46Crown ZenithSword & Shield · 2023 · 160 cards
set value $225HHI 0.0529%
47Rebel ClashSword & Shield · 2020 · 209 cards
set value $504HHI 0.0427%
48Unified MindsSun & Moon · 2019 · 261 cards
set value $4,852HHI 0.0525%
49Shrouded FableScarlet & Violet · 2024 · 99 cards
set value $793HHI 0.0423%
50Cosmic EclipseSun & Moon · 2019 · 272 cards
set value $6,578HHI 0.0323%
51Scarlet & VioletScarlet & Violet · 2023 · 258 cards
set value $696HHI 0.0422%
52Paradox RiftScarlet & Violet · 2023 · 266 cards
set value $1,116HHI 0.0318%
53Temporal ForcesScarlet & Violet · 2024 · 218 cards
set value $1,140HHI 0.0318%

Partial coverage, not ranked

—BW Black Star PromosBlack & White · 2011 · 101 cards
set value $108HHI 0.54100%

partial 0 of 101 printed cards have an observed price (101 imported); not ranked until 95% do.

—Scarlet & Violet PromosScarlet & Violet · 2022 · 200 cards
set value $1,169HHI 0.3190%

partial 0 of 200 printed cards have an observed price (200 imported); not ranked until 95% do.

—Pokémon GOSword & Shield · 2022 · 88 cards
set value $1,035HHI 0.2069%

partial 0 of 88 printed cards have an observed price (88 imported); not ranked until 95% do.

—30th Celebration: Classic CollectionMega Evolution · 2026 · 30 cards
set value $867HHI 0.1150%

partial 28 of 30 printed cards have an observed price (30 imported); not ranked until 95% do.

—SM Black Star PromosSun & Moon · 2017 · 251 cards
set value $2,009HHI 0.1143%

partial 0 of 251 printed cards have an observed price (251 imported); not ranked until 95% do.

—Guardians RisingSun & Moon · 2017 · 180 cards
set value $1,094HHI 0.0531%

partial 169 of 180 printed cards have an observed price (180 imported); not ranked until 95% do.

Method

  1. Every card in the set gets its blended near-mint value, the same number its card page shows. Modelled values carry no weight once an observed one exists, and a set is only ranked when at least 95% of its printed cards have an observed price. Coverage is measured against the set's printed size, not against the cards we hold: a name search can import a single card from a set the catalog does not cover, and one card is not a set. Sets with fewer than half their printed cards imported are left out entirely.
  2. Set value is the sum over all cards, one copy each. Top-3 share is the three most valuable cards' values over that sum.
  3. HHI is the sum of every card's squared share, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1 (one card is the set). It is the standard concentration index and it does not depend on where the "top" is cut.

Reading it: a high share means the set's sealed product is, in value terms, a lottery ticket on a handful of cards, and a move in the chase drags the whole set with it, in both directions. A low share means the value is spread and the set trades more like a basket. This says nothing about whether any card is cheap or dear, only how much rides on it. One copy per card means print-run differences between rarities are not weighted; a set's real pull-weighted value is a different number, and the box-EV screen is where it belongs.

53 sets ranked, 6 partial. Generated 2026-10-29 03:31 UTC.