Signals · screen 3

Chase concentration

How much of each set's value sits in its top 3 cards. The higher the share, the more a box of that set is a bet on one to three cards rather than on the set.

53 sets ranked, 6 partial. Top-3 share is the three most valuable cards' share of the set's summed value; HHI is the sum of every card's squared share of set value, from near 0 (spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).

130th CelebrationMega Evolution · 2026 · 161 cards

set value $12,598HHI 0.3095%

Mew #R$4,278 · 34%
Mew #B$4,133 · 33%
Mew #G$3,551 · 28%

2Phantasmal FlamesMega Evolution · 2025 · 130 cards

set value $965HHI 0.4183%

3Lost OriginSword & Shield · 2022 · 217 cards

set value $1,347HHI 0.4078%

Giratina V #186$823 · 61%
Aerodactyl V #180$202 · 15%
Rotom V #177$26.51 · 2%

4Black & WhiteBlack & White · 2011 · 115 cards

set value $550HHI 0.1974%

Pikachu #115$177 · 32%
Zekrom #114$124 · 23%
Reshiram #113$107 · 19%

5Chaos RisingMega Evolution · 2026 · 122 cards

set value $445HHI 0.1662%

6EX Dragon FrontiersEX Series · 2006 · 101 cards

set value $8,246HHI 0.2160%

Mew ★ #101$3,500 · 42%
Charizard ★ #100$1,000 · 12%
Dragonite ex δ #91$472 · 6%

7Hidden FatesSun & Moon · 2019 · 69 cards

set value $273HHI 0.1560%

Jessie & James #68$72.08 · 26%
Moltres & Zapdos & Articuno-GX #44$46.99 · 17%
Moltres & Zapdos & Articuno-GX #66$44.74 · 16%

8Pitch BlackMega Evolution · 2026 · 120 cards

set value $542HHI 0.1560%

Mega Darkrai ex #116$142 · 26%
Mega Darkrai ex #120$125 · 23%
Morpeko ex #117$58.22 · 11%

9Silver TempestSword & Shield · 2022 · 215 cards

set value $898HHI 0.2759%

Lugia V #186$462 · 51%
Lugia VSTAR #202$38.77 · 4%
Unown V #177$29.35 · 3%

10Base SetWizards of the Coast (Vintage) · 1999 · 102 cards

set value $2,410HHI 0.1858%

Charizard #4$955 · 40%
Blastoise #2$230 · 10%
Machamp #8$217 · 9%

11Celebrations: Classic CollectionSword & Shield · 2021 · 25 cards

set value $412HHI 0.1557%

Charizard #4$128 · 31%
Umbreon ★ #17$73.74 · 18%
M Rayquaza-EX #76$33.38 · 8%

12Crystal GuardiansEX Series · 2006 · 100 cards

set value $5,590HHI 0.1356%

Alakazam ★ #99$1,430 · 26%
Charizard δ #4$940 · 17%
Celebi ★ #100$750 · 13%

13Roaring SkiesXY · 2015 · 112 cards

set value $1,786HHI 0.1455%

M Rayquaza-EX #105$567 · 32%
Rayquaza-EX #104$253 · 14%
M Rayquaza-EX #61$158 · 9%

14Silver Tempest Trainer GallerySword & Shield · 2022 · 30 cards

set value $448HHI 0.1752%

Rayquaza VMAX #TG20$175 · 39%
Blaziken V #TG14$30.59 · 7%
Blaziken VMAX #TG15$29.92 · 7%

15Brilliant StarsSword & Shield · 2022 · 186 cards

set value $740HHI 0.1552%

Charizard V #154$267 · 36%
Arceus V #166$59.05 · 8%
Charizard VSTAR #174$58.87 · 8%

16Paldean FatesScarlet & Violet · 2024 · 245 cards

set value $2,464HHI 0.1451%

Mew ex #232$849 · 34%
Charizard ex #234$257 · 10%
Gardevoir ex #233$162 · 7%

17Evolving SkiesSword & Shield · 2021 · 237 cards

set value $7,860HHI 0.1250%

Umbreon VMAX #215$2,210 · 28%
Rayquaza VMAX #218$1,242 · 16%
Rayquaza V #194$478 · 6%

18Boundaries CrossedBlack & White · 2012 · 153 cards

set value $3,560HHI 0.1149%

19Surging SparksScarlet & Violet · 2024 · 252 cards

set value $1,095HHI 0.1048%

Pikachu ex #238$257 · 23%
Latias ex #239$167 · 15%
Milotic ex #237$104 · 9%

20StormfrontDiamond & Pearl / Platinum · 2008 · 106 cards

set value $2,292HHI 0.1248%

Charizard #103$700 · 31%
Charmander #101$204 · 9%
Machamp LV.X #98$188 · 8%

21Destined RivalsScarlet & Violet · 2025 · 244 cards

set value $1,345HHI 0.1047%

22Lost Origin Trainer GallerySword & Shield · 2022 · 30 cards

set value $531HHI 0.1047%

Pikachu V #TG16$107 · 20%
Pikachu VMAX #TG17$96.37 · 18%
Gengar #TG06$45.04 · 8%

23Vivid VoltageSword & Shield · 2020 · 203 cards

set value $509HHI 0.1346%

Pikachu VMAX #188$168 · 33%
Pikachu V #170$42.22 · 8%
Rayquaza #138$23.76 · 5%

24Black BoltScarlet & Violet · 2025 · 172 cards

set value $3,225HHI 0.0946%

Victini #171$623 · 19%
Zekrom ex #172$597 · 19%
Zekrom ex #166$257 · 8%

25Prismatic EvolutionsScarlet & Violet · 2025 · 180 cards

set value $4,121HHI 0.1246%

Umbreon ex #161$1,191 · 29%
Sylveon ex #156$391 · 9%
Leafeon ex #144$300 · 7%

26Emerging PowersBlack & White · 2011 · 98 cards

set value $115HHI 0.0945%

Thundurus #97$23.55 · 20%
Tornadus #98$22.99 · 20%
Unfezant #82$5.56 · 5%

27Twilight MasqueradeScarlet & Violet · 2024 · 226 cards

set value $1,174HHI 0.1045%

Greninja ex #214$303 · 26%
Perrin #220$153 · 13%
Eevee #188$70.70 · 6%

28Ascended HeroesMega Evolution · 2026 · 295 cards

set value $3,960HHI 0.0945%

29Neo GenesisWizards of the Coast (Vintage) · 2000 · 111 cards

set value $2,277HHI 0.1045%

Lugia #9$535 · 23%
Typhlosion #17$317 · 14%
Typhlosion #18$165 · 7%

30Journey TogetherScarlet & Violet · 2025 · 190 cards

set value $370HHI 0.0942%

31Team RocketWizards of the Coast (Vintage) · 2000 · 83 cards

set value $1,970HHI 0.0841%

Dark Charizard #4$373 · 19%
Dark Dragonite #5$222 · 11%
Dark Blastoise #3$214 · 11%

32Mega EvolutionMega Evolution · 2025 · 188 cards

set value $1,337HHI 0.0940%

33FossilWizards of the Coast (Vintage) · 1999 · 62 cards

set value $1,211HHI 0.0839%

Gengar #5$218 · 18%
Dragonite #4$185 · 15%
Articuno #2$72.38 · 6%

34Brilliant Stars Trainer GallerySword & Shield · 2022 · 30 cards

set value $640HHI 0.0939%

Umbreon VMAX #TG23$95.80 · 15%
Mimikyu V #TG16$79.02 · 12%
Mimikyu VMAX #TG17$72.58 · 11%

35Obsidian FlamesScarlet & Violet · 2023 · 230 cards

set value $411HHI 0.0838%

Charizard ex #223$89.44 · 22%
Cleffa #202$34.34 · 8%
Charizard ex #228$32.69 · 8%

36Hidden Fates: Shiny VaultSun & Moon · 2019 · 94 cards

set value $3,444HHI 0.0838%

37Ultra PrismSun & Moon · 2018 · 178 cards

set value $2,387HHI 0.0737%

Lillie #151$476 · 20%
Cynthia #148$241 · 10%
Lusamine #153$163 · 7%

38XY EvolutionsXY · 2016 · 113 cards

set value $791HHI 0.0736%

M Charizard-EX #101$123 · 16%
Charizard #11$96.24 · 12%
M Blastoise-EX #102$64.80 · 8%

39Diamond & PearlDiamond & Pearl / Platinum · 2007 · 130 cards

set value $1,083HHI 0.0634%

Infernape LV.X #121$168 · 16%
Torterra LV.X #122$100 · 9%
Gengar #27$95.58 · 9%

40JungleWizards of the Coast (Vintage) · 1999 · 64 cards

set value $1,103HHI 0.0633%

Snorlax #11$165 · 15%
Jolteon #4$106 · 10%
Flareon #3$93.48 · 8%

41Crown Zenith Galarian GallerySword & Shield · 2023 · 70 cards

set value $2,121HHI 0.0533%

42Gym ChallengeWizards of the Coast (Vintage) · 2000 · 132 cards

set value $3,124HHI 0.0633%

43Scarlet & Violet — 151Scarlet & Violet · 2023 · 207 cards

set value $1,609HHI 0.0631%

Charizard ex #199$295 · 18%
Blastoise ex #200$108 · 7%
Venusaur ex #198$90.19 · 6%

44Crimson InvasionSun & Moon · 2017 · 126 cards

set value $503HHI 0.0531%

Gyarados-GX #112$81.54 · 16%
Lusamine #110$44.78 · 9%
Gyarados-GX #101$27.39 · 5%

45Neo DestinyWizards of the Coast (Vintage) · 2002 · 113 cards

set value $9,929HHI 0.0630%

Shining Charizard #107$1,300 · 13%
Dark Gengar #6$1,076 · 11%
Dark Espeon #4$650 · 7%

46Crown ZenithSword & Shield · 2023 · 160 cards

set value $225HHI 0.0529%

Pikachu #160$38.47 · 17%
Elesa's Sparkle #147$14.72 · 7%
Rayquaza VMAX #102$11.57 · 5%

47Rebel ClashSword & Shield · 2020 · 209 cards

set value $504HHI 0.0427%

Boss's Orders #189$53.55 · 11%
Boss's Orders #200$43.11 · 9%
Ninetales V #177$40.40 · 8%

48Unified MindsSun & Moon · 2019 · 261 cards

set value $4,852HHI 0.0525%

Mewtwo & Mew-GX #242$429 · 9%
Mega Sableye & Tyranitar-GX #226$396 · 8%
Raichu & Alolan Raichu-GX #221$375 · 8%

49Shrouded FableScarlet & Violet · 2024 · 99 cards

set value $793HHI 0.0423%

Persian #78$65.95 · 8%
Basic Darkness Energy #98$57.44 · 7%
Houndoom #66$56.57 · 7%

50Cosmic EclipseSun & Moon · 2019 · 272 cards

set value $6,578HHI 0.0323%

Arceus & Dialga & Palkia-GX #221$595 · 9%
Blastoise & Piplup-GX #215$482 · 7%
Reshiram & Zekrom-GX #222$411 · 6%

51Scarlet & VioletScarlet & Violet · 2023 · 258 cards

set value $696HHI 0.0422%

Gardevoir ex #245$68.58 · 10%
Drowzee #210$46.77 · 7%
Ralts #211$40.43 · 6%

52Paradox RiftScarlet & Violet · 2023 · 266 cards

set value $1,116HHI 0.0318%

Groudon #199$95.58 · 9%
Morpeko #206$61.88 · 6%
Plusle #193$45.58 · 4%

53Temporal ForcesScarlet & Violet · 2024 · 218 cards

set value $1,140HHI 0.0318%

Gastly #177$88.95 · 8%
Raging Bolt ex #208$61.03 · 5%
Gengar ex #193$52.70 · 5%

Partial coverage, not ranked

—BW Black Star PromosBlack & White · 2011 · 101 cards

set value $108HHI 0.54100%

Tropical Beach #BW50$68.96 · 64%
Tropical Beach #BW28$39.09 · 36%

partial 0 of 101 printed cards have an observed price (101 imported); not ranked until 95% do.

—Scarlet & Violet PromosScarlet & Violet · 2022 · 200 cards

set value $1,169HHI 0.3190%

Charizard ex #196$460 · 39%
Charizard ex #161$402 · 34%
Charizard ex #56$192 · 16%

partial 0 of 200 printed cards have an observed price (200 imported); not ranked until 95% do.

—Pokémon GOSword & Shield · 2022 · 88 cards

set value $1,035HHI 0.2069%

Dragonite VSTAR #81$247 · 24%
Dragonite VSTAR #50$244 · 24%
Charizard #10$225 · 22%

partial 0 of 88 printed cards have an observed price (88 imported); not ranked until 95% do.

—30th Celebration: Classic CollectionMega Evolution · 2026 · 30 cards

set value $867HHI 0.1150%

Lugia #149$193 · 22%
Charizard #4$157 · 18%
Magikarp #203$80.35 · 9%

partial 28 of 30 printed cards have an observed price (30 imported); not ranked until 95% do.

—SM Black Star PromosSun & Moon · 2017 · 251 cards

set value $2,009HHI 0.1143%

Charizard #SM158$321 · 16%
Reshiram & Charizard-GX #SM201$302 · 15%
Charizard #SM226$251 · 12%

partial 0 of 251 printed cards have an observed price (251 imported); not ranked until 95% do.

—Guardians RisingSun & Moon · 2017 · 180 cards

set value $1,094HHI 0.0531%

Sylveon-GX #158$182 · 17%
Alolan Ninetales-GX #150$89.61 · 8%
Sylveon-GX #140$71.40 · 7%

partial 169 of 180 printed cards have an observed price (180 imported); not ranked until 95% do.

Method

Every card in the set gets its blended near-mint value, the same number its card page shows. Modelled values carry no weight once an observed one exists, and a set is only ranked when at least 95% of its printed cards have an observed price. Coverage is measured against the set's printed size, not against the cards we hold: a name search can import a single card from a set the catalog does not cover, and one card is not a set. Sets with fewer than half their printed cards imported are left out entirely.
Set value is the sum over all cards, one copy each. Top-3 share is the three most valuable cards' values over that sum.
HHI is the sum of every card's squared share, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1 (one card is the set). It is the standard concentration index and it does not depend on where the "top" is cut.

Reading it: a high share means the set's sealed product is, in value terms, a lottery ticket on a handful of cards, and a move in the chase drags the whole set with it, in both directions. A low share means the value is spread and the set trades more like a basket. This says nothing about whether any card is cheap or dear, only how much rides on it. One copy per card means print-run differences between rarities are not weighted; a set's real pull-weighted value is a different number, and the box-EV screen is where it belongs.

53 sets ranked, 6 partial. Generated 2026-10-29 03:31 UTC.