PokémonChase cardSpecial Illustration Rare

Cynthia's Garchomp ex

Destined Rivals · #232 · 2025

The second most valuable card in the set by TCGplayer market on 15 Sept 2026 ($232 raw); PSA 10 population 11,052 in BetterPop's 9 Sept 2026 build.

Blended market value

$168.34-20.9% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 1d ago

Price history

Latest

$168.34

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
178 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 1d ago
$168.34
Traderaliveasksnot blended
3 listings · Any condition · 1d ago
$234.82
SEK 2,333
median SEK 2,200
SEK 2,200–SEK 2,600
eBay soldlivenot blended
79 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 16d ago
$367.42
median $340.00
$150.00–$736.73

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 11,585 · PSA 10 price $517 · float $5,989,329+19% vs Scarlet & Violet curve#52 of 77 in era · slope +0.30
11,585 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $517; that is 19% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 52 of 77, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.30, R² 0.14, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-43% from $295 (2026-05-30)supply +5% · flat
Observed raw near-mint $168 on 2026-10-28 against a window high of $295 on 2026-05-30: 43% below it, deep enough for the drawdown screen. PSA 10 population went 11,052 → 11,585 (+5%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationDestined Rivals: top-3 share 47% · HHI 0.1013% of set value#2 card in the set
Destined Rivals's cards sum to $1,345 over 244 cards; this card is 13% of that as its #2 card, and the top 3 together hold 47% (HHI 0.10, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 2,200 kr ≈ $221 · 3 asks · 2026-10-28+32% vs US market $168-35% vs eBay sold median $340 (79 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
3 Swedish asks with a median of 2,200 kr ≈ $221 on 2026-10-28, 32% above the US near-mint market of $168 (2026-10-28), and 35% below the eBay sold median of $340 (79 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.