PokémonChase cardSpecial Illustration Rare

Ethan's Ho-Oh ex

Destined Rivals · #230 · 2025

The third most valuable card in the set by TCGplayer market on 15 Sept 2026 ($153 raw); PSA 10 population 9,720 in BetterPop's 9 Sept 2026 build.

Blended market value

$133.65-9.1% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 1d ago

Price history

Latest

$133.65

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
171 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 1d ago
$133.65
Traderalivethinnot blended
2 listings · Any condition · 1d ago
$231.36
SEK 2,299
median SEK 2,499
SEK 2,099–SEK 2,499
eBay soldlivenot blended
77 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 16d ago
$287.15
median $259.95
$15.00–$580.00

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 10,187 · PSA 10 price $431 · float $4,386,115+3% vs Scarlet & Violet curve#47 of 77 in era · slope +0.30
10,187 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $431; that is 3% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 47 of 77, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.30, R² 0.14, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-34% from $202 (2026-06-21)supply +5% · flat
Observed raw near-mint $134 on 2026-10-28 against a window high of $202 on 2026-06-21: 34% below it, deep enough for the drawdown screen. PSA 10 population went 9,720 → 10,187 (+5%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationDestined Rivals: top-3 share 47% · HHI 0.1010% of set value#3 card in the set
Destined Rivals's cards sum to $1,345 over 244 cards; this card is 10% of that as its #3 card, and the top 3 together hold 47% (HHI 0.10, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 2,499 kr ≈ $251 · 2 asks · 2026-10-28 · under the screen's 3-listing threshold+88% vs US market $134-3% vs eBay sold median $260 (77 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
2 Swedish asks with a median of 2,499 kr ≈ $251 on 2026-10-28, 88% above the US near-mint market of $134 (2026-10-28), and 3% below the eBay sold median of $260 (77 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; under three asks, so the screen shows it unranked.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.