PokémonSpecial Illustration Rare

Blastoise ex

Scarlet & Violet — 151 · #200 · 2023

Blended market value

$107.52-18.2% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 5d ago

Price history

Latest

$107.52

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
247 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 5d ago
$107.52
Traderaliveasksnot blended
9 listings · Any condition · 4d ago
$163.01
SEK 1,621
median SEK 1,599
SEK 1,264–SEK 2,399
eBay soldlivenot blended
206 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 25d ago
$161.97
median $150.00
$59.99–$449.00

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 18,988 · PSA 10 price $539 · float $10,239,849+7% vs Scarlet & Violet curve#48 of 77 in era · slope +0.30
18,988 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $539; that is 7% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 48 of 77, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.30, R² 0.14, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-39% from $177 (2026-03-19)supply +1% · flat
Observed raw near-mint $108 on 2026-10-24 against a window high of $177 on 2026-03-19: 39% below it, deep enough for the drawdown screen. PSA 10 population went 18,833 → 18,988 (+1%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationScarlet & Violet — 151: top-3 share 31% · HHI 0.067% of set value#2 card in the set
Scarlet & Violet — 151's cards sum to $1,609 over 207 cards; this card is 7% of that as its #2 card, and the top 3 together hold 31% (HHI 0.06, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 1,599 kr ≈ $161 · 9 asks · 2026-10-25+50% vs US market $108+7% vs eBay sold median $150 (206 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
9 Swedish asks with a median of 1,599 kr ≈ $161 on 2026-10-25, 50% above the US near-mint market of $108 (2026-10-24), and 7% above the eBay sold median of $150 (206 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.