PokémonChase cardSpecial Illustration Rare

Mega Dragonite ex

Ascended Heroes · #290 · 2026

The third most valuable card in the set by TCGplayer market on 15 Sept 2026 ($585 raw); PSA 10 population 5,789 in BetterPop's 9 Sept 2026 build.

Blended market value

$428.88-19.6% 30d

1 observed, 2 thin · read 1d ago

Price history

Latest

$428.88

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
117 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 1d ago
$428.88
Traderaliveasksnot blended
8 listings · Any condition · 1d ago
$614.33
SEK 6,105
median SEK 5,999
SEK 4,899–SEK 7,844
eBay soldliveestimatenot blended
47 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 16d ago
$1,126
median $1,055
$60.00–$2,500

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 6,643 · PSA 10 price $1,572 · float $10,442,597+310% vs Mega Evolution curve#29 of 40 in era · slope -0.16
6,643 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $1,572; that is 310% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 29 of 40, in an era where population barely predicts PSA 10 price (slope -0.16, R² 0.04, scarcer cards costing more).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-51% from $880 (2026-06-17)supply +15%
Observed raw near-mint $429 on 2026-10-28 against a window high of $880 on 2026-06-17: 51% below it, deep enough for the drawdown screen. PSA 10 population went 5,789 → 6,643 (+15%), which is not flat, so new slabs are part of the picture.
Chase concentrationAscended Heroes: top-3 share 45% · HHI 0.0911% of set value#3 card in the set
Ascended Heroes's cards sum to $3,960 over 295 cards; this card is 11% of that as its #3 card, and the top 3 together hold 45% (HHI 0.09, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 5,999 kr ≈ $604 · 8 asks · 2026-10-28+41% vs US market $429-43% vs eBay sold median $1,055 (47 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
8 Swedish asks with a median of 5,999 kr ≈ $604 on 2026-10-28, 41% above the US near-mint market of $429 (2026-10-28), and 43% below the eBay sold median of $1,055 (47 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.