CardGameInsight
PokémonChase cardSpecial Illustration Rare

Pikachu ex

Ascended Heroes · #276 · 2026

The most valuable card in the set by TCGplayer market on 15 Sept 2026 ($960 raw); PSA 10 population 7,142 in BetterPop's 9 Sept 2026 build.

Blended market value

$608.50-35.0% 30d

1 observed, 2 thin · read 1d ago

Price history

2026-03-202026-10-28

Latest

$608.50

Average per source

  • 94 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 1d ago

    $608.50

  • Traderaliveasksnot blended

    11 listings · Any condition · 1d ago

    $948.81

    SEK 9,428

    median SEK 9,000

    SEK 7,500–SEK 12,995

  • eBay soldliveestimatenot blended

    82 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 16d ago

    $1,785

    median $1,670

    $710.00–$4,000

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

  • Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 8,021 · PSA 10 price $2,530 · float $20,294,413+581% vs Mega Evolution curve#32 of 40 in era · slope -0.16

    8,021 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $2,530; that is 581% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 32 of 40, in an era where population barely predicts PSA 10 price (slope -0.16, R² 0.04, scarcer cards costing more).

  • Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-57% from $1,405 (2026-05-22)supply +12%

    Observed raw near-mint $609 on 2026-10-28 against a window high of $1,405 on 2026-05-22: 57% below it, deep enough for the drawdown screen. PSA 10 population went 7,142 → 8,021 (+12%), which is not flat, so new slabs are part of the picture.

  • Chase concentrationAscended Heroes: top-3 share 45% · HHI 0.0915% of set value#2 card in the set

    Ascended Heroes's cards sum to $3,960 over 295 cards; this card is 15% of that as its #2 card, and the top 3 together hold 45% (HHI 0.09, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).

  • Region spreadTradera median 9,000 kr ≈ $906 · 11 asks · 2026-10-28+49% vs US market $609-46% vs eBay sold median $1,670 (82 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales

    11 Swedish asks with a median of 9,000 kr ≈ $906 on 2026-10-28, 49% above the US near-mint market of $609 (2026-10-28), and 46% below the eBay sold median of $1,670 (82 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above
PSA 10 pop
The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp
An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope
b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float
PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI
Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread
Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales
Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.

Card details

Set
Ascended Heroes
Era
Mega Evolution
Number
276/217
Rarity
Special Illustration Rare
Artist
booota
Released
Jan 30, 2026

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