PokémonChase cardRare Holo

Charizard

30th Celebration: Classic Collection · #4 · 2026

The second most valuable reprint by TCGplayer market on 25 Sept 2026 ($185 raw), against $869 for the Base Set original on 14 Sept and $165 for the 25th anniversary's reprint on 15 Sept. No population read yet.

Blended market value

$157.00-17.6% 30d

1 live source · read 1d ago

Price history

Latest

$157.00

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
56 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 1d ago
$157.00
eBay soldlivenot blended
3 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 16d ago
$770.00
median $910.00
$451.00–$949.00

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 629 · PSA 10 price $1,894 · float $1,191,515outside the fit
629 PSA 10s exist (a placeholder count, not a read) and the last PSA 10 comp was $1,894; a modelled input keeps it outside the fit, so it is listed below the 34 fitted Mega Evolution cards without a distance from the curve.
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29within 30% of its window high
Not on the drawdown screen: the card is within 30% of its window high. The exact distance appears once the nightly report is regenerated.
Chase concentration30th Celebration: Classic Collection: top-3 share 50% · HHI 0.1118% of set value#2 card in the set
30th Celebration: Classic Collection's cards sum to $867 over 30 cards; this card is 18% of that as its #2 card, and the top 3 together hold 50% (HHI 0.11, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set). The set is not ranked yet: 28 of 30 cards have an observed price.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.