PokémonChase cardClassic Collection

Umbreon ★

Celebrations: Classic Collection · #17 · 2021

The second most valuable card in the set by TCGplayer market on 15 Sept 2026 ($93 raw); PSA 10 population 19,697 in BetterPop's 9 Sept 2026 build.

Blended market value

$73.74-14.3% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 6h ago

Price history

Latest

$73.74

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
200 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 6h ago
$73.74
eBay soldliveestimatenot blended
75 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 16d ago
$216.16
median $175.00
$12.00–$515.00

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 20,159 · PSA 10 price $388 · float $7,827,740-11% vs Sword & Shield curve#41 of 82 in era · slope +0.46
20,159 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $388; that is 11% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 41 of 82, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.46, R² 0.26, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-41% from $125 (2026-06-13)supply +2% · flat
Observed raw near-mint $73.74 on 2026-10-29 against a window high of $125 on 2026-06-13: 41% below it, deep enough for the drawdown screen. PSA 10 population went 19,697 → 20,159 (+2%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationCelebrations: Classic Collection: top-3 share 57% · HHI 0.1518% of set value#2 card in the set
Celebrations: Classic Collection's cards sum to $412 over 25 cards; this card is 18% of that as its #2 card, and the top 3 together hold 57% (HHI 0.15, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.