CardGameInsight
PokémonChase cardRare Holo

Dark Charizard

Team Rocket · #4 · 2000

Team Rocket's most valuable card by TCGplayer market on 14 Sept 2026 ($370.60 raw, Unlimited print); Unlimited PSA 10 population 176 in BetterPop's 9 Sept 2026 build.

Blended market value

$373.18-1.3% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 5h ago

Price history

2026-03-182026-10-29

Latest

$373.18

Average per source

  • 94 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 5h ago

    $373.18

  • Traderaliveasksnot blended

    9 listings · Any condition · 1d ago

    $186.77

    SEK 1,856

    median SEK 1,799

    SEK 1,049–SEK 2,799

  • eBay soldlivenot blended

    41 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 15d ago

    $475.41

    median $379.00

    $40.00–$1,399

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

  • Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 176 · PSA 10 price $13,728 (thin comp) · float $2,416,207+82% vs Wizards of the Coast (Vintage) curve#24 of 33 in era · slope -0.16

    176 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $13,728 (thin: under three sales); that is 82% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 24 of 33, in an era where population barely predicts PSA 10 price (slope -0.16, R² 0.04, scarcer cards costing more).

  • Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-3% from $385 (2026-10-14)supply 0% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold

    Observed raw near-mint $373 on 2026-10-28 against a window high of $385 on 2026-10-14: 3% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 176 → 176 (0%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.

  • Chase concentrationTeam Rocket: top-3 share 41% · HHI 0.0819% of set value#1 card in the set

    Team Rocket's cards sum to $1,970 over 83 cards; this card is 19% of that as its #1 card, and the top 3 together hold 41% (HHI 0.08, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).

  • Region spreadTradera median 1,799 kr ≈ $181 · 9 asks · 2026-10-28 · unlimited, 1st ed. titles excluded-51% vs US market $373-52% vs eBay sold median $379 (41 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales

    9 Swedish asks with a median of 1,799 kr ≈ $181 on 2026-10-28, 51% below the US near-mint market of $373 (2026-10-29), and 52% below the eBay sold median of $379 (41 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; 1st Edition titles excluded, both sides the unlimited print.

Terms used above
PSA 10 pop
The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp
An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope
b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float
PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI
Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread
Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales
Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.

Card details

Set
Team Rocket
Era
Wizards of the Coast (Vintage)
Number
4/82
Rarity
Rare Holo
Artist
Ken Sugimori
Released
Apr 24, 2000
Printings
Unlimited print (this listing); a 1st Edition run exists and is priced separately

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