PokémonChase cardSpecial Illustration Rare

Mew ex

Paldean Fates · #232 · 2024

The most valuable card in the set by TCGplayer market on 15 Sept 2026 ($877 raw); PSA 10 population 16,593 in BetterPop's 9 Sept 2026 build.

Blended market value

$848.99-2.3% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 1d ago

Price history

Latest

$848.99

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
101 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 1d ago
$848.99
Traderaliveasksnot blended
4 listings · Any condition · 1d ago
$743.10
SEK 7,384
median SEK 8,347
SEK 3,000–SEK 9,990
eBay soldlivenot blended
127 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 16d ago
$973.93
median $825.00
$15.00–$2,800

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 16,707 · PSA 10 price $2,623 · float $43,815,611+442% vs Scarlet & Violet curve#76 of 77 in era · slope +0.30
16,707 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $2,623; that is 442% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 76 of 77, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.30, R² 0.14, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-22% from $1,089 (2026-07-05)supply +1% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $849 on 2026-10-28 against a window high of $1,089 on 2026-07-05: 22% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 16,593 → 16,707 (+1%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationPaldean Fates: top-3 share 51% · HHI 0.1434% of set value#1 card in the set
Paldean Fates's cards sum to $2,464 over 245 cards; this card is 34% of that as its #1 card, and the top 3 together hold 51% (HHI 0.14, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 8,347 kr ≈ $840 · 4 asks · 2026-10-28-1% vs US market $849+2% vs eBay sold median $825 (127 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
4 Swedish asks with a median of 8,347 kr ≈ $840 on 2026-10-28, 1% below the US near-mint market of $849 (2026-10-28), and 2% above the eBay sold median of $825 (127 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.