Charizard V
Brilliant Stars · #154 · 2022
The most valuable card of Brilliant Stars and its Trainer Gallery by TCGplayer market on 15 Sept 2026 ($296 raw); PSA 10 population 16,424 in BetterPop's 9 Sept 2026 build.
Blended market value
1 observed, 1 thin · read 2d ago
Price history
Latest
$266.93
Average per source
114 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 2d ago
$266.93
2 listings · Any condition · 1d ago
$391.58
SEK 3,891
median SEK 4,582
SEK 3,200–SEK 4,582
57 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 16d ago
$378.28
median $300.00
$10.50–$849.95
3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.
Signals
how these are computed →- Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 16,573 · PSA 10 price $798 · float $13,226,414+99% vs Sword & Shield curve#70 of 82 in era · slope +0.46
16,573 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $798; that is 99% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 70 of 82, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.46, R² 0.26, the most-graded cards costing most).
- Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-26% from $358 (2026-06-01)supply +1% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $267 on 2026-10-27 against a window high of $358 on 2026-06-01: 26% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 16,424 → 16,573 (+1%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
- Chase concentrationBrilliant Stars: top-3 share 52% · HHI 0.1536% of set value#1 card in the set
Brilliant Stars's cards sum to $740 over 186 cards; this card is 36% of that as its #1 card, and the top 3 together hold 52% (HHI 0.15, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
- Region spreadTradera median 4,582 kr ≈ $461 · 2 asks · 2026-10-28 · under the screen's 3-listing threshold+73% vs US market $267+54% vs eBay sold median $300 (57 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
2 Swedish asks with a median of 4,582 kr ≈ $461 on 2026-10-28, 73% above the US near-mint market of $267 (2026-10-27), and 54% above the eBay sold median of $300 (57 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; under three asks, so the screen shows it unranked.
Terms used above
- PSA 10 pop
- The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
- thin comp
- An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
- slope
- b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
- float
- PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
- HHI
- Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
- spread
- Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
- asks, not sales
- Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.
Card details
- Set
- Brilliant Stars
- Era
- Sword & Shield
- Number
- 154/172
- Rarity
- Rare Ultra
- Artist
- Ryota Murayama
- Released
- Feb 25, 2022