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Shining Charizard

Neo Destiny · #107 · 2002

The Shining secret rare numbered 107/105, and Neo Destiny's most valuable card by TCGplayer market on 14 Sept 2026 ($1,495 raw, Unlimited print); Unlimited PSA 10 population 384 in BetterPop's 9 Sept 2026 build.

Blended market value

$1,300-23.6% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 4h ago

Price history

2026-03-182026-10-29

Latest

$1,300

Average per source

  • 16 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 4h ago

    $1,300

  • Traderaliveasksnot blended

    3 listings · Any condition · 6h ago

    $1,309

    SEK 13,000

    median SEK 12,999

    SEK 11,000–SEK 15,000

  • eBay soldlivenot blended

    47 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 15d ago

    $1,785

    median $1,650

    $108.00–$4,000

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

  • Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 384 · PSA 10 price $12,675 (thin comp) · float $4,867,258+91% vs Wizards of the Coast (Vintage) curve#26 of 33 in era · slope -0.16

    384 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $12,675 (thin: under three sales); that is 91% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 26 of 33, in an era where population barely predicts PSA 10 price (slope -0.16, R² 0.04, scarcer cards costing more).

  • Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-67% from $3,999 (2026-03-25)supply 0% · flat

    Observed raw near-mint $1,300 on 2026-10-29 against a window high of $3,999 on 2026-03-25: 67% below it, deep enough for the drawdown screen. PSA 10 population went 384 → 384 (0%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.

  • Chase concentrationNeo Destiny: top-3 share 30% · HHI 0.0613% of set value#1 card in the set

    Neo Destiny's cards sum to $9,929 over 113 cards; this card is 13% of that as its #1 card, and the top 3 together hold 30% (HHI 0.06, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).

  • Region spreadTradera median 12,999 kr ≈ $1,309 · 3 asks · 2026-10-29 · unlimited, 1st ed. titles excluded+1% vs US market $1,300-21% vs eBay sold median $1,650 (47 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales

    3 Swedish asks with a median of 12,999 kr ≈ $1,309 on 2026-10-29, 1% above the US near-mint market of $1,300 (2026-10-29), and 21% below the eBay sold median of $1,650 (47 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; 1st Edition titles excluded, both sides the unlimited print.

Terms used above
PSA 10 pop
The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp
An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope
b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float
PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI
Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread
Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales
Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.

Card details

Set
Neo Destiny
Era
Wizards of the Coast (Vintage)
Number
107/105
Rarity
Rare Secret
Artist
Hironobu Yoshida
Released
Feb 28, 2002
Printings
Unlimited print (this listing); a 1st Edition run exists and is priced separately

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