PokémonHyper Rare

Charizard ex

Obsidian Flames · #228 · 2023

Blended market value

$32.69-3.9% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 8d ago

Price history

Latest

$32.69

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
234 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 8d ago
$32.69
Traderaliveasksnot blended
4 listings · Any condition · 9d ago
$57.80
SEK 573.25
median SEK 600.00
SEK 453.00–SEK 650.00
eBay soldlivenot blended
159 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 18d ago
$112.16
median $60.00
$14.00–$350.00

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 9,148 · PSA 10 price $268 · float $2,452,579-34% vs Scarlet & Violet curve#24 of 77 in era · slope +0.30
9,148 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $268; that is 34% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 24 of 77, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.30, R² 0.14, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-31% from $47.55 (2026-06-09)supply +0% · flat
Observed raw near-mint $32.69 on 2026-10-21 against a window high of $47.55 on 2026-06-09: 31% below it, deep enough for the drawdown screen. PSA 10 population went 9,109 → 9,148 (+0%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationObsidian Flames: top-3 share 38% · HHI 0.088% of set value#3 card in the set
Obsidian Flames's cards sum to $411 over 230 cards; this card is 8% of that as its #3 card, and the top 3 together hold 38% (HHI 0.08, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 600 kr ≈ $60.50 · 4 asks · 2026-10-20+85% vs US market $32.69+1% vs eBay sold median $60.00 (159 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
4 Swedish asks with a median of 600 kr ≈ $60.50 on 2026-10-20, 85% above the US near-mint market of $32.69 (2026-10-21), and 1% above the eBay sold median of $60.00 (159 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.