PokémonChase cardIllustration Rare

Cleffa

Obsidian Flames · #202 · 2023

The third most valuable card in the set by TCGplayer market on 15 Sept 2026 ($36 raw); PSA 10 population 3,060 in BetterPop's 9 Sept 2026 build.

Blended market value

$34.34-6.7% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 1d ago

Price history

Latest

$34.34

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
261 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 1d ago
$34.34
Traderalivethinnot blended
1 listings · Any condition · 19h ago
$74.47
SEK 740.00
median SEK 740.00
SEK 740.00–SEK 740.00
eBay soldlivenot blended
76 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 18d ago
$55.01
median $49.73
$17.50–$150.00

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 3,069 · PSA 10 price $347 · float $1,065,403+18% vs Scarlet & Violet curve#51 of 77 in era · slope +0.30
3,069 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $347; that is 18% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 51 of 77, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.30, R² 0.14, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-32% from $50.38 (2026-05-15)supply +0% · flat
Observed raw near-mint $34.34 on 2026-10-28 against a window high of $50.38 on 2026-05-15: 32% below it, deep enough for the drawdown screen. PSA 10 population went 3,060 → 3,069 (+0%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationObsidian Flames: top-3 share 38% · HHI 0.088% of set value#2 card in the set
Obsidian Flames's cards sum to $411 over 230 cards; this card is 8% of that as its #2 card, and the top 3 together hold 38% (HHI 0.08, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 740 kr ≈ $74.47 · 1 ask · 2026-10-28 · under the screen's 3-listing threshold+117% vs US market $34.34+50% vs eBay sold median $49.73 (76 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
1 Swedish ask with a median of 740 kr ≈ $74.47 on 2026-10-28, 117% above the US near-mint market of $34.34 (2026-10-28), and 50% above the eBay sold median of $49.73 (76 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; under three asks, so the screen shows it unranked.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.