PokémonChase cardSpecial Illustration Rare

Umbreon ex

Prismatic Evolutions · #161 · 2025

The Umbreon ex Special Illustration Rare, the set's most valuable card by TCGplayer market on 14 Sept 2026 ($1,423.30 raw) and the highest observed raw price among the Scarlet & Violet sets indexed here that day; PSA 10 population 6,399 in BetterPop's 9 Sept 2026 build.

Blended market value

$1,137-16.1% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 5h ago

Price history

Latest

$1,137

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
97 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 5h ago
$1,137
Traderalivethinnot blended
2 listings · Any condition · 2d ago
$1,155
SEK 11,501
median SEK 12,000
SEK 11,002–SEK 12,000
eBay soldlivenot blended
108 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 15d ago
$2,003
median $1,463
$15.00–$5,080

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 6,566 · PSA 10 price $5,037 · float $33,075,503+1271% vs Scarlet & Violet curve#77 of 77 in era · slope +0.30
6,566 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $5,037; that is 1271% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 77 of 77, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.30, R² 0.14, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-25% from $1,586 (2026-05-27)supply +3% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $1,191 on 2026-10-27 against a window high of $1,586 on 2026-05-27: 25% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 6,399 → 6,566 (+3%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationPrismatic Evolutions: top-3 share 46% · HHI 0.1229% of set value#1 card in the set
Prismatic Evolutions's cards sum to $4,121 over 180 cards; this card is 29% of that as its #1 card, and the top 3 together hold 46% (HHI 0.12, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 12,000 kr ≈ $1,205 · 2 asks · 2026-10-27 · under the screen's 3-listing threshold+6% vs US market $1,137-18% vs eBay sold median $1,463 (108 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
2 Swedish asks with a median of 12,000 kr ≈ $1,205 on 2026-10-27, 6% above the US near-mint market of $1,137 (2026-10-29), and 18% below the eBay sold median of $1,463 (108 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; under three asks, so the screen shows it unranked.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.