PokémonChase cardRare Shiny GX

Charizard-GX

Hidden Fates: Shiny Vault · #SV49 · 2019

The Shiny Vault Charizard-GX, the Shiny Vault's most valuable card by TCGplayer market on 14 Sept 2026 ($764.12 raw); PSA 10 population 9,623 in BetterPop's 9 Sept 2026 build.

Blended market value

$774.90+0.9% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 4h ago

Price history

Latest

$774.90

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
24 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 4h ago
$774.90
Traderaliveasksnot blended
3 listings · Any condition · 6h ago
$888.41
SEK 8,823
median SEK 5,999
SEK 5,669–SEK 14,800
eBay soldlivenot blended
61 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 15d ago
$922.41
median $662.50
$2.25–$2,090

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 9,683 · PSA 10 price $1,346 · float $13,036,320+485% vs Sun & Moon curve#22 of 22 in era · slope +0.21
9,683 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $1,346; that is 485% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 22 of 22, in an era where population barely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.21, R² 0.03, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-290% from $775 (2026-10-29)supply +1% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $775 on 2026-10-29 against a window high of $775 on 2026-10-29: level with it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 9,623 → 9,683 (+1%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationHidden Fates: Shiny Vault: top-3 share 38% · HHI 0.0823% of set value#1 card in the set
Hidden Fates: Shiny Vault's cards sum to $3,444 over 94 cards; this card is 23% of that as its #1 card, and the top 3 together hold 38% (HHI 0.08, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 5,999 kr ≈ $604 · 3 asks · 2026-10-29-22% vs US market $775-9% vs eBay sold median $663 (61 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
3 Swedish asks with a median of 5,999 kr ≈ $604 on 2026-10-29, 22% below the US near-mint market of $775 (2026-10-29), and 9% below the eBay sold median of $663 (61 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.