PokémonChase cardRare Rainbow

Rayquaza VMAX

Evolving Skies · #218 · 2021

The alternate-art Rayquaza VMAX, the set's second most valuable card by TCGplayer market on 14 Sept 2026 ($1,255.33 raw); PSA 10 population 15,053 in BetterPop's 9 Sept 2026 build.

Blended market value

$1,242-1.1% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 4h ago

Price history

Latest

$1,242

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
48 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 4h ago
$1,242
Traderaliveasksnot blended
4 listings · Any condition · 1d ago
$694.09
SEK 6,897
median SEK 8,000
SEK 2,300–SEK 9,500
eBay soldlivenot blended
110 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 15d ago
$1,431
median $1,365
$1.00–$3,250

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 15,168 · PSA 10 price $2,205 · float $33,446,653+474% vs Sword & Shield curve#80 of 82 in era · slope +0.46
15,168 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $2,205; that is 474% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 80 of 82, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.46, R² 0.26, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-3% from $1,279 (2026-10-16)supply +1% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $1,242 on 2026-10-28 against a window high of $1,279 on 2026-10-16: 3% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 15,053 → 15,168 (+1%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationEvolving Skies: top-3 share 50% · HHI 0.1216% of set value#2 card in the set
Evolving Skies's cards sum to $7,860 over 237 cards; this card is 16% of that as its #2 card, and the top 3 together hold 50% (HHI 0.12, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 8,000 kr ≈ $805 · 4 asks · 2026-10-28-35% vs US market $1,242-41% vs eBay sold median $1,365 (110 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
4 Swedish asks with a median of 8,000 kr ≈ $805 on 2026-10-28, 35% below the US near-mint market of $1,242 (2026-10-29), and 41% below the eBay sold median of $1,365 (110 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.