PokémonRare Ultra

Arceus V

Brilliant Stars · #166 · 2022

Blended market value

$59.05-2.2% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 2d ago

Price history

Latest

$59.05

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
106 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 2d ago
$59.05
Traderaliveasksnot blended
3 listings · Any condition · 1d ago
$58.64
SEK 582.67
median SEK 600.00
SEK 249.00–SEK 899.00
eBay soldlivenot blended
31 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 18d ago
$126.29
median $85.99
$44.00–$237.00

Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 6,817 · PSA 10 price $215 · float $1,464,360-19% vs Sword & Shield curve#36 of 82 in era · slope +0.46
6,817 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $215; that is 19% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 36 of 82, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.46, R² 0.26, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-8% from $64.47 (2026-08-04)supply +1% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $59.05 on 2026-10-27 against a window high of $64.47 on 2026-08-04: 8% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 6,752 → 6,817 (+1%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationBrilliant Stars: top-3 share 52% · HHI 0.158% of set value#2 card in the set
Brilliant Stars's cards sum to $740 over 186 cards; this card is 8% of that as its #2 card, and the top 3 together hold 52% (HHI 0.15, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 600 kr ≈ $60.38 · 3 asks · 2026-10-28+2% vs US market $59.05-30% vs eBay sold median $85.99 (31 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
3 Swedish asks with a median of 600 kr ≈ $60.38 on 2026-10-28, 2% above the US near-mint market of $59.05 (2026-10-27), and 30% below the eBay sold median of $85.99 (31 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.