PokémonChase cardRare Rainbow

Pikachu VMAX

Vivid Voltage · #188 · 2020

The most valuable card in the set by TCGplayer market on 15 Sept 2026 ($177 raw); PSA 10 population 12,023 in BetterPop's 9 Sept 2026 build.

Blended market value

$167.96-2.0% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 6h ago

Price history

Latest

$167.96

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
102 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 6h ago
$167.96
Traderaliveasksnot blended
3 listings · Any condition · 6h ago
$212.57
SEK 2,111
median SEK 1,679
SEK 1,630–SEK 3,024
eBay soldlivenot blended
54 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 16d ago
$221.67
median $183.16
$10.00–$400.00

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 12,100 · PSA 10 price $341 · float $4,125,979-1% vs Sword & Shield curve#51 of 82 in era · slope +0.46
12,100 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $341; that is 1% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 51 of 82, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.46, R² 0.26, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-18% from $204 (2026-05-28)supply +1% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $168 on 2026-10-29 against a window high of $204 on 2026-05-28: 18% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 12,023 → 12,100 (+1%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationVivid Voltage: top-3 share 46% · HHI 0.1333% of set value#1 card in the set
Vivid Voltage's cards sum to $509 over 203 cards; this card is 33% of that as its #1 card, and the top 3 together hold 46% (HHI 0.13, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 1,679 kr ≈ $169 · 3 asks · 2026-10-29+1% vs US market $168-8% vs eBay sold median $183 (54 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
3 Swedish asks with a median of 1,679 kr ≈ $169 on 2026-10-29, 1% above the US near-mint market of $168 (2026-10-29), and 8% below the eBay sold median of $183 (54 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.