PokémonChase cardAmazing Rare

Rayquaza

Vivid Voltage · #138 · 2020

The third most valuable card in the set by TCGplayer market on 15 Sept 2026 ($25 raw); PSA 10 population 13,755 in BetterPop's 9 Sept 2026 build.

Blended market value

$23.76+8.5% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 6h ago

Price history

Latest

$23.76

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
194 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 6h ago
$23.76
Traderaliveasksnot blended
3 listings · Any condition · 6h ago
$49.95
SEK 496.00
median SEK 460.00
SEK 329.00–SEK 699.00
eBay soldlivenot blended
78 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 16d ago
$68.42
median $50.00
$7.50–$197.00

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 14,019 · PSA 10 price $167 · float $2,345,659-55% vs Sword & Shield curve#7 of 82 in era · slope +0.46
14,019 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $167; that is 55% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 7 of 82, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.46, R² 0.26, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-27% from $32.53 (2026-07-05)supply +2% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $23.76 on 2026-10-29 against a window high of $32.53 on 2026-07-05: 27% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 13,755 → 14,019 (+2%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationVivid Voltage: top-3 share 46% · HHI 0.135% of set value#3 card in the set
Vivid Voltage's cards sum to $509 over 203 cards; this card is 5% of that as its #3 card, and the top 3 together hold 46% (HHI 0.13, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 460 kr ≈ $46.32 · 3 asks · 2026-10-29+95% vs US market $23.76-7% vs eBay sold median $50.00 (78 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
3 Swedish asks with a median of 460 kr ≈ $46.32 on 2026-10-29, 95% above the US near-mint market of $23.76 (2026-10-29), and 7% below the eBay sold median of $50.00 (78 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.