CardGameInsight
PokémonRare Holo

Dark Gengar

Neo Destiny · #6 · 2002

Blended market value

$1,076-2.3% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 10d ago

Price history

2026-03-182026-10-19

Latest

$1,076

Average per source

  • 21 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 10d ago

    $1,076

  • Traderaliveasksnot blended

    9 listings · Any condition · 6d ago

    $578.02

    SEK 5,748

    median SEK 4,399

    SEK 2,987–SEK 10,800

  • eBay soldlivenot blended

    16 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 19d ago

    $726.81

    median $450.00

    $200.00–$1,950

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

  • Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 95 · PSA 10 price $21,881 (thin comp) · float $2,078,652+163% vs Wizards of the Coast (Vintage) curve#28 of 33 in era · slope -0.16

    95 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $21,881 (thin: under three sales); that is 163% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 28 of 33, in an era where population barely predicts PSA 10 price (slope -0.16, R² 0.04, scarcer cards costing more).

  • Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-2% from $1,103 (2026-09-01)supply 0% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold

    Observed raw near-mint $1,076 on 2026-10-19 against a window high of $1,103 on 2026-09-01: 2% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 95 → 95 (0%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.

  • Chase concentrationNeo Destiny: top-3 share 30% · HHI 0.0611% of set value#2 card in the set

    Neo Destiny's cards sum to $9,929 over 113 cards; this card is 11% of that as its #2 card, and the top 3 together hold 30% (HHI 0.06, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).

  • Region spreadTradera median 4,399 kr ≈ $442 · 9 asks · 2026-10-23 · unlimited, 1st ed. titles excluded-59% vs US market $1,076-2% vs eBay sold median $450 (16 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales

    9 Swedish asks with a median of 4,399 kr ≈ $442 on 2026-10-23, 59% below the US near-mint market of $1,076 (2026-10-19), and 2% below the eBay sold median of $450 (16 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; 1st Edition titles excluded, both sides the unlimited print.

Terms used above
PSA 10 pop
The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp
An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope
b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float
PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI
Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread
Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales
Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.

Card details

Set
Neo Destiny
Era
Wizards of the Coast (Vintage)
Number
6/105
Rarity
Rare Holo
Artist
Aya Kusube
Released
Feb 28, 2002
Printings
Unlimited print (this listing); a 1st Edition run exists and is priced separately

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