PokémonChase cardSpecial Illustration Rare

Latias ex

Surging Sparks · #239 · 2024

The second most valuable card in the set by TCGplayer market on 15 Sept 2026 ($190 raw); PSA 10 population 7,278 in BetterPop's 9 Sept 2026 build.

Blended market value

$167.05-10.8% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 1d ago

Price history

Latest

$167.05

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
124 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 1d ago
$167.05
Traderalivethinnot blended
2 listings · Any condition · 1d ago
$198.76
SEK 1,975
median SEK 2,000
SEK 1,950–SEK 2,000
eBay soldlivenot blended
97 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 16d ago
$170.06
median $166.25
$19.99–$311.36

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 7,558 · PSA 10 price $514 · float $3,883,829+34% vs Scarlet & Violet curve#56 of 77 in era · slope +0.30
7,558 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $514; that is 34% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 56 of 77, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.30, R² 0.14, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-16% from $199 (2026-07-12)supply +4% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $167 on 2026-10-28 against a window high of $199 on 2026-07-12: 16% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 7,278 → 7,558 (+4%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationSurging Sparks: top-3 share 48% · HHI 0.1015% of set value#2 card in the set
Surging Sparks's cards sum to $1,095 over 252 cards; this card is 15% of that as its #2 card, and the top 3 together hold 48% (HHI 0.10, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 2,000 kr ≈ $201 · 2 asks · 2026-10-28 · under the screen's 3-listing threshold+20% vs US market $167+21% vs eBay sold median $166 (97 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
2 Swedish asks with a median of 2,000 kr ≈ $201 on 2026-10-28, 20% above the US near-mint market of $167 (2026-10-28), and 21% above the eBay sold median of $166 (97 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; under three asks, so the screen shows it unranked.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.