PokémonChase cardSpecial Illustration Rare

Mega Darkrai ex

Pitch Black · #116 · 2026

The most valuable card in the set by TCGplayer market on 18 Sept 2026 ($188 raw), 27% of the value of one of every card in the set. No population read yet.

Blended market value

$141.64-11.8% 30d

1 observed, 2 thin · read 1d ago

Price history

Latest

$141.64

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
181 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 1d ago
$141.64
Traderaliveasksnot blended
7 listings · Any condition · 2d ago
$282.21
SEK 2,810
median SEK 2,266
SEK 1,999–SEK 5,500
eBay soldliveestimatenot blended
29 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 15d ago
$378.10
median $348.27
$141.00–$800.00

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 366 · PSA 10 price $879 · float $321,769+43% vs Mega Evolution curve#23 of 40 in era · slope -0.16
366 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $879; that is 43% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 23 of 40, in an era where population barely predicts PSA 10 price (slope -0.16, R² 0.04, scarcer cards costing more).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-25% from $188 (2026-09-18)supply change: one population read so far · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $142 on 2026-10-28 against a window high of $188 on 2026-09-18: 25% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population has been read once (366), so whether supply grew over the window is not known until a second read at least 21 days later.
Chase concentrationPitch Black: top-3 share 60% · HHI 0.1526% of set value#1 card in the set
Pitch Black's cards sum to $542 over 120 cards; this card is 26% of that as its #1 card, and the top 3 together hold 60% (HHI 0.15, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 2,266 kr ≈ $228 · 7 asks · 2026-10-27+61% vs US market $142-35% vs eBay sold median $348 (29 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
7 Swedish asks with a median of 2,266 kr ≈ $228 on 2026-10-27, 61% above the US near-mint market of $142 (2026-10-28), and 35% below the eBay sold median of $348 (29 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.