PokémonChase cardMega Hyper Rare

Mega Darkrai ex

Pitch Black · #120 · 2026

The second most valuable card in the set by TCGplayer market on 18 Sept 2026 ($149 raw). No population read yet.

Blended market value

$125.14-13.1% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 1d ago

Price history

Latest

$125.14

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
138 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 1d ago
$125.14
Traderaliveasksnot blended
4 listings · Any condition · 2d ago
$277.48
SEK 2,763
median SEK 2,251
SEK 1,899–SEK 5,000
eBay soldlivenot blended
3 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 15d ago
$301.22
median $225.00
$215.00–$463.65

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 28 · PSA 10 price $1,635 · float $45,792+75% vs Mega Evolution curve#24 of 40 in era · slope -0.16
28 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $1,635; that is 75% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 24 of 40, in an era where population barely predicts PSA 10 price (slope -0.16, R² 0.04, scarcer cards costing more).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-16% from $149 (2026-09-18)supply change: one population read so far · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $125 on 2026-10-28 against a window high of $149 on 2026-09-18: 16% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population has been read once (28), so whether supply grew over the window is not known until a second read at least 21 days later.
Chase concentrationPitch Black: top-3 share 60% · HHI 0.1523% of set value#2 card in the set
Pitch Black's cards sum to $542 over 120 cards; this card is 23% of that as its #2 card, and the top 3 together hold 60% (HHI 0.15, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 2,251 kr ≈ $226 · 4 asks · 2026-10-27+81% vs US market $125+0% vs eBay sold median $225 (3 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
4 Swedish asks with a median of 2,251 kr ≈ $226 on 2026-10-27, 81% above the US near-mint market of $125 (2026-10-28), and level with the eBay sold median of $225 (3 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.