PokémonRare Secret

Pikachu

Black & White · #115 · 2011

Blended market value

$177.08-2.1% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 9d ago

Price history

Latest

$177.08

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
20 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 9d ago
$177.08
Traderaliveasksnot blended
5 listings · Any condition · 5d ago
$99.55
SEK 990.00
median SEK 899.00
SEK 499.00–SEK 1,813
eBay soldlivenot blended
11 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 18d ago
$147.13
median $140.27
$57.00–$280.50

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 210 · PSA 10 price $3,970 · float $833,616+10% vs Black & White curve#3 of 5 in era · slope +0.31
210 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $3,970; that is 10% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 3 of 5, in an era where population tracks PSA 10 price (slope +0.31, R² 0.56, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-2% from $181 (2026-09-29)supply 0% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $177 on 2026-10-20 against a window high of $181 on 2026-09-29: 2% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 210 → 210 (0%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationBlack & White: top-3 share 74% · HHI 0.1932% of set value#1 card in the set
Black & White's cards sum to $550 over 115 cards; this card is 32% of that as its #1 card, and the top 3 together hold 74% (HHI 0.19, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 899 kr ≈ $90.40 · 5 asks · 2026-10-24-49% vs US market $177-36% vs eBay sold median $140 (11 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
5 Swedish asks with a median of 899 kr ≈ $90.40 on 2026-10-24, 49% below the US near-mint market of $177 (2026-10-20), and 36% below the eBay sold median of $140 (11 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.