PokémonChase cardRare Ultra

Giratina V

Lost Origin · #186 · 2022

The most valuable card of Lost Origin and its Trainer Gallery by TCGplayer market on 15 Sept 2026 ($839 raw); PSA 10 population 9,709 in BetterPop's 9 Sept 2026 build.

Blended market value

$823.08-3.2% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 1d ago

Price history

Latest

$823.08

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
48 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 1d ago
$823.08
Traderaliveasksnot blended
4 listings · Any condition · 1d ago
$977.13
SEK 9,710
median SEK 9,820
SEK 8,399–SEK 12,000
eBay soldlivenot blended
60 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 16d ago
$923.38
median $787.12
$275.00–$2,050

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 9,775 · PSA 10 price $2,926 · float $28,605,267+833% vs Sword & Shield curve#82 of 82 in era · slope +0.46
9,775 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $2,926; that is 833% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 82 of 82, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.46, R² 0.26, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-5% from $868 (2026-07-04)supply +1% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $823 on 2026-10-28 against a window high of $868 on 2026-07-04: 5% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 9,709 → 9,775 (+1%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationLost Origin: top-3 share 78% · HHI 0.4061% of set value#1 card in the set
Lost Origin's cards sum to $1,347 over 217 cards; this card is 61% of that as its #1 card, and the top 3 together hold 78% (HHI 0.40, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 9,820 kr ≈ $988 · 4 asks · 2026-10-28+20% vs US market $823+26% vs eBay sold median $787 (60 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
4 Swedish asks with a median of 9,820 kr ≈ $988 on 2026-10-28, 20% above the US near-mint market of $823 (2026-10-28), and 26% above the eBay sold median of $787 (60 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.