CardGameInsight
PokémonRare Ultra

Moltres & Zapdos & Articuno-GX

Hidden Fates · #66 · 2019

Blended market value

$44.74-5.7% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 7d ago

Price history

2026-03-182026-10-22

Latest

$44.74

Average per source

  • 90 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 7d ago

    $44.74

  • Traderalivethinnot blended

    1 listings · Any condition · 13d ago

    $51.75

    SEK 516.00

    median SEK 516.00

    SEK 516.00–SEK 516.00

  • eBay soldlivenot blended

    68 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 19d ago

    $111.22

    median $120.25

    $30.00–$200.00

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

  • Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 9,942 · PSA 10 price $145 · float $1,438,011-38% vs Sun & Moon curve#3 of 22 in era · slope +0.21

    9,942 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $145; that is 38% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 3 of 22, in an era where population barely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.21, R² 0.03, the most-graded cards costing most).

  • Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-6% from $47.45 (2026-10-03)supply +2% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold

    Observed raw near-mint $44.74 on 2026-10-22 against a window high of $47.45 on 2026-10-03: 6% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 9,787 → 9,942 (+2%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.

  • Chase concentrationHidden Fates: top-3 share 60% · HHI 0.1516% of set value#3 card in the set

    Hidden Fates's cards sum to $273 over 69 cards; this card is 16% of that as its #3 card, and the top 3 together hold 60% (HHI 0.15, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).

  • Region spreadTradera median 516 kr ≈ $51.75 · 1 ask · 2026-10-16 · under the screen's 3-listing threshold+16% vs US market $44.74-57% vs eBay sold median $120 (68 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales

    1 Swedish ask with a median of 516 kr ≈ $51.75 on 2026-10-16, 16% above the US near-mint market of $44.74 (2026-10-22), and 57% below the eBay sold median of $120 (68 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; under three asks, so the screen shows it unranked.

Terms used above
PSA 10 pop
The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp
An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope
b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float
PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI
Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread
Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales
Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.

Card details

Set
Hidden Fates
Era
Sun & Moon
Number
66/68
Rarity
Rare Ultra
Artist
5ban Graphics
Released
Aug 23, 2019

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