Dragonite
Fossil · #4 · 1999
The first English Dragonite. TCGplayer market $189.66 raw on 14 Sept 2026 (Unlimited print), Fossil's second highest; Unlimited PSA 10 population 60 in BetterPop's 9 Sept 2026 build.
Blended market value
1 observed, 2 thin · read 1d ago
Price history
Latest
$185.12
Average per source
155 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 1d ago
$185.12
10 listings · Any condition · 1d ago
$173.24
SEK 1,721
median SEK 1,210
SEK 699.00–SEK 4,527
10 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 15d ago
$138.82
median $100.00
$28.00–$383.00
3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.
Signals
how these are computed →- Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 60 · PSA 10 price $9,384 (thin comp) · float $563,010+5% vs Wizards of the Coast (Vintage) curve#17 of 33 in era · slope -0.16
60 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $9,384 (thin: under three sales); that is 5% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 17 of 33, in an era where population barely predicts PSA 10 price (slope -0.16, R² 0.04, scarcer cards costing more).
- Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-5% from $194 (2026-06-30)supply 0% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $185 on 2026-10-28 against a window high of $194 on 2026-06-30: 5% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 60 → 60 (0%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
- Chase concentrationFossil: top-3 share 39% · HHI 0.0815% of set value#2 card in the set
Fossil's cards sum to $1,211 over 62 cards; this card is 15% of that as its #2 card, and the top 3 together hold 39% (HHI 0.08, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
- Region spreadTradera median 1,210 kr ≈ $122 · 10 asks · 2026-10-28 · unlimited, 1st ed. titles excluded-34% vs US market $185+22% vs eBay sold median $100.00 (10 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
10 Swedish asks with a median of 1,210 kr ≈ $122 on 2026-10-28, 34% below the US near-mint market of $185 (2026-10-28), and 22% above the eBay sold median of $100.00 (10 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; 1st Edition titles excluded, both sides the unlimited print.
Terms used above
- PSA 10 pop
- The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
- thin comp
- An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
- slope
- b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
- float
- PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
- HHI
- Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
- spread
- Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
- asks, not sales
- Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.
Card details
- Set
- Fossil
- Era
- Wizards of the Coast (Vintage)
- Number
- 4/62
- Rarity
- Rare Holo
- Artist
- Ken Sugimori
- Released
- Oct 10, 1999
- Printings
- Unlimited print (this listing); a 1st Edition run exists and is priced separately