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PokémonChase cardRare Holo

Gengar

Fossil · #5 · 1999

Fossil's most valuable card by TCGplayer market on 14 Sept 2026 ($216.22 raw, Unlimited print); Unlimited PSA 10 population 51 in BetterPop's 9 Sept 2026 build.

Blended market value

$218.48+2.5% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 1d ago

Price history

2026-03-182026-10-28

Latest

$218.48

Average per source

  • 132 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 1d ago

    $218.48

  • Traderaliveasksnot blended

    10 listings · Any condition · 1d ago

    $219.09

    SEK 2,177

    median SEK 1,800

    SEK 1,206–SEK 5,204

  • eBay soldlivenot blended

    8 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 15d ago

    $185.50

    median $131.50

    $70.00–$466.00

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

  • Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 51 · PSA 10 price $24,663 (thin comp) · float $1,257,817+169% vs Wizards of the Coast (Vintage) curve#29 of 33 in era · slope -0.16

    51 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $24,663 (thin: under three sales); that is 169% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 29 of 33, in an era where population barely predicts PSA 10 price (slope -0.16, R² 0.04, scarcer cards costing more).

  • Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-2% from $223 (2026-10-16)supply 0% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold

    Observed raw near-mint $218 on 2026-10-28 against a window high of $223 on 2026-10-16: 2% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 51 → 51 (0%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.

  • Chase concentrationFossil: top-3 share 39% · HHI 0.0818% of set value#1 card in the set

    Fossil's cards sum to $1,211 over 62 cards; this card is 18% of that as its #1 card, and the top 3 together hold 39% (HHI 0.08, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).

  • Region spreadTradera median 1,800 kr ≈ $181 · 10 asks · 2026-10-28 · unlimited, 1st ed. titles excluded-17% vs US market $218+38% vs eBay sold median $132 (8 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales

    10 Swedish asks with a median of 1,800 kr ≈ $181 on 2026-10-28, 17% below the US near-mint market of $218 (2026-10-28), and 38% above the eBay sold median of $132 (8 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; 1st Edition titles excluded, both sides the unlimited print.

Terms used above
PSA 10 pop
The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp
An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope
b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float
PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI
Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread
Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales
Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.

Card details

Set
Fossil
Era
Wizards of the Coast (Vintage)
Number
5/62
Rarity
Rare Holo
Artist
Keiji Kinebuchi
Released
Oct 10, 1999
Printings
Unlimited print (this listing); a 1st Edition run exists and is priced separately

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