PokémonChase cardRare Rainbow

Lugia VSTAR

Silver Tempest · #202 · 2022

The third most valuable card of Silver Tempest and its Trainer Gallery by TCGplayer market on 15 Sept 2026 ($40 raw); PSA 10 population 2,618 in BetterPop's 9 Sept 2026 build.

Blended market value

$38.77-0.3% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 6h ago

Price history

Latest

$38.77

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
64 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 6h ago
$38.77
Traderalivethinnot blended
1 listings · Any condition · 6h ago
$58.50
SEK 581.00
median SEK 581.00
SEK 581.00–SEK 581.00
eBay soldlivenot blended
29 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 16d ago
$91.53
median $86.29
$12.50–$220.00

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 2,629 · PSA 10 price $153 · float $403,183-10% vs Sword & Shield curve#42 of 82 in era · slope +0.46
2,629 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $153; that is 10% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 42 of 82, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.46, R² 0.26, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-9% from $42.67 (2026-07-21)supply +0% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $38.77 on 2026-10-29 against a window high of $42.67 on 2026-07-21: 9% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 2,618 → 2,629 (+0%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationSilver Tempest: top-3 share 59% · HHI 0.274% of set value#2 card in the set
Silver Tempest's cards sum to $898 over 215 cards; this card is 4% of that as its #2 card, and the top 3 together hold 59% (HHI 0.27, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 581 kr ≈ $58.50 · 1 ask · 2026-10-29 · under the screen's 3-listing threshold+51% vs US market $38.77-32% vs eBay sold median $86.29 (29 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
1 Swedish ask with a median of 581 kr ≈ $58.50 on 2026-10-29, 51% above the US near-mint market of $38.77 (2026-10-29), and 32% below the eBay sold median of $86.29 (29 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; under three asks, so the screen shows it unranked.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.