CardGameInsight
PokémonChase cardRare Ultra

Lugia V

Silver Tempest · #186 · 2022

The most valuable card of Silver Tempest and its Trainer Gallery by TCGplayer market on 15 Sept 2026 ($519 raw); PSA 10 population 25,553 in BetterPop's 9 Sept 2026 build.

Blended market value

$461.76-10.8% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 6h ago

Price history

2026-03-202026-10-29

Latest

$461.76

Average per source

  • 99 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 6h ago

    $461.76

  • Traderalivethinnot blended

    1 listings · Any condition · 6h ago

    $498.45

    SEK 4,950

    median SEK 4,950

    SEK 4,950–SEK 4,950

  • eBay soldlivenot blended

    104 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 16d ago

    $472.83

    median $464.04

    $228.26–$777.77

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

  • Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 25,639 · PSA 10 price $1,207 · float $30,957,041+147% vs Sword & Shield curve#75 of 82 in era · slope +0.46

    25,639 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $1,207; that is 147% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 75 of 82, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.46, R² 0.26, the most-graded cards costing most).

  • Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-15% from $544 (2026-07-02)supply +0% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold

    Observed raw near-mint $462 on 2026-10-29 against a window high of $544 on 2026-07-02: 15% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 25,553 → 25,639 (+0%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.

  • Chase concentrationSilver Tempest: top-3 share 59% · HHI 0.2751% of set value#1 card in the set

    Silver Tempest's cards sum to $898 over 215 cards; this card is 51% of that as its #1 card, and the top 3 together hold 59% (HHI 0.27, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).

  • Region spreadTradera median 4,950 kr ≈ $498 · 1 ask · 2026-10-29 · under the screen's 3-listing threshold+8% vs US market $462+7% vs eBay sold median $464 (104 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales

    1 Swedish ask with a median of 4,950 kr ≈ $498 on 2026-10-29, 8% above the US near-mint market of $462 (2026-10-29), and 7% above the eBay sold median of $464 (104 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; under three asks, so the screen shows it unranked.

Terms used above
PSA 10 pop
The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp
An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope
b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float
PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI
Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread
Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales
Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.

Card details

Set
Silver Tempest
Era
Sword & Shield
Number
186/195
Rarity
Rare Ultra
Artist
kawayoo
Released
Nov 11, 2022

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