PokémonRare Rainbow

Charizard VSTAR

Brilliant Stars · #174 · 2022

Blended market value

$58.87-15.5% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 2d ago

Price history

Latest

$58.87

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
142 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 2d ago
$58.87
Traderalivethinnot blended
2 listings · Any condition · 1d ago
$169.02
SEK 1,680
median SEK 2,460
SEK 899.00–SEK 2,460
eBay soldlivenot blended
70 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 18d ago
$112.98
median $89.50
$33.00–$320.00

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 12,903 · PSA 10 price $220 · float $2,833,757-38% vs Sword & Shield curve#23 of 82 in era · slope +0.46
12,903 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $220; that is 38% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 23 of 82, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.46, R² 0.26, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-28% from $81.39 (2026-06-29)supply +1% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $58.87 on 2026-10-27 against a window high of $81.39 on 2026-06-29: 28% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 12,829 → 12,903 (+1%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationBrilliant Stars: top-3 share 52% · HHI 0.158% of set value#3 card in the set
Brilliant Stars's cards sum to $740 over 186 cards; this card is 8% of that as its #3 card, and the top 3 together hold 52% (HHI 0.15, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 2,460 kr ≈ $248 · 2 asks · 2026-10-28 · under the screen's 3-listing threshold+321% vs US market $58.87+177% vs eBay sold median $89.50 (70 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
2 Swedish asks with a median of 2,460 kr ≈ $248 on 2026-10-28, 321% above the US near-mint market of $58.87 (2026-10-27), and 177% above the eBay sold median of $89.50 (70 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; under three asks, so the screen shows it unranked.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.