PokémonRare Ultra

Rayquaza V

Evolving Skies · #194 · 2021

Blended market value

$478.39-1.1% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 6d ago

Price history

Latest

$478.39

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
71 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 6d ago
$478.39
Traderalivethinnot blended
2 listings · Any condition · 3d ago
$394.64
SEK 3,925
median SEK 5,000
SEK 2,849–SEK 5,000
eBay soldlivenot blended
37 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 19d ago
$479.91
median $480.00
$200.00–$867.11

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 9,805 · PSA 10 price $1,210 · float $11,861,403+285% vs Sword & Shield curve#79 of 82 in era · slope +0.46
9,805 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $1,210; that is 285% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 79 of 82, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.46, R² 0.26, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-8% from $518 (2026-07-27)supply +1% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $478 on 2026-10-23 against a window high of $518 on 2026-07-27: 8% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 9,694 → 9,805 (+1%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationEvolving Skies: top-3 share 50% · HHI 0.126% of set value#3 card in the set
Evolving Skies's cards sum to $7,860 over 237 cards; this card is 6% of that as its #3 card, and the top 3 together hold 50% (HHI 0.12, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 5,000 kr ≈ $503 · 2 asks · 2026-10-26 · under the screen's 3-listing threshold+5% vs US market $478+5% vs eBay sold median $480 (37 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
2 Swedish asks with a median of 5,000 kr ≈ $503 on 2026-10-26, 5% above the US near-mint market of $478 (2026-10-23), and 5% above the eBay sold median of $480 (37 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; under three asks, so the screen shows it unranked.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.