PokémonRare Ultra

Rotom V

Lost Origin · #177 · 2022

Blended market value

$26.51-8.1% 30d

1 observed, 2 thin · read 4d ago

Price history

Latest

$26.51

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
88 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 4d ago
$26.51
Traderalivethinnot blended
2 listings · Any condition · 1d ago
$25.86
SEK 257.00
median SEK 315.00
SEK 199.00–SEK 315.00
eBay soldliveestimatenot blended
7 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 18d ago
$67.64
median $50.00
$20.50–$135.00

Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 1,618 · PSA 10 price $111 · float $179,388-19% vs Sword & Shield curve#38 of 82 in era · slope +0.46
1,618 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $111; that is 19% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 38 of 82, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.46, R² 0.26, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-16% from $31.66 (2026-09-09)supply +0% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $26.51 on 2026-10-25 against a window high of $31.66 on 2026-09-09: 16% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 1,613 → 1,618 (+0%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationLost Origin: top-3 share 78% · HHI 0.402% of set value#3 card in the set
Lost Origin's cards sum to $1,347 over 217 cards; this card is 2% of that as its #3 card, and the top 3 together hold 78% (HHI 0.40, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 315 kr ≈ $31.70 · 2 asks · 2026-10-28 · under the screen's 3-listing threshold+20% vs US market $26.51-37% vs eBay sold median $50.00 (7 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
2 Swedish asks with a median of 315 kr ≈ $31.70 on 2026-10-28, 20% above the US near-mint market of $26.51 (2026-10-25), and 37% below the eBay sold median of $50.00 (7 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; under three asks, so the screen shows it unranked.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.