PokémonSpecial Illustration Rare

Mega Gardevoir ex

Mega Evolution · #178 · 2025

Blended market value

$169.08-2.6% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 5d ago

Price history

Latest

$169.08

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
142 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 5d ago
$169.08
Traderaliveasksnot blended
3 listings · Any condition · 8d ago
$194.97
SEK 1,926
median SEK 1,999
SEK 1,750–SEK 2,029
eBay soldlivenot blended
117 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 18d ago
$267.97
median $226.25
$100.00–$550.00

Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 12,169 · PSA 10 price $408 · float $4,961,301+17% vs Mega Evolution curve#20 of 40 in era · slope -0.16
12,169 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $408; that is 17% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 20 of 40, in an era where population barely predicts PSA 10 price (slope -0.16, R² 0.04, scarcer cards costing more).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-18% from $206 (2026-06-16)supply +5% · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $169 on 2026-10-24 against a window high of $206 on 2026-06-16: 18% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 11,544 → 12,169 (+5%), which is not flat, so new slabs are part of the picture.
Chase concentrationMega Evolution: top-3 share 40% · HHI 0.0913% of set value#2 card in the set
Mega Evolution's cards sum to $1,337 over 188 cards; this card is 13% of that as its #2 card, and the top 3 together hold 40% (HHI 0.09, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 1,999 kr ≈ $202 · 3 asks · 2026-10-21+20% vs US market $169-11% vs eBay sold median $226 (117 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
3 Swedish asks with a median of 1,999 kr ≈ $202 on 2026-10-21, 20% above the US near-mint market of $169 (2026-10-24), and 11% below the eBay sold median of $226 (117 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.