PokémonRare Holo EX

Rayquaza ex δ

EX Dragon Frontiers · #97 · 2006

Blended market value

$291.750.0% 30d

1 observed, 2 thin · read 10d ago

Price history

Latest

$291.75

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
10 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 10d ago
$291.75
Traderalivethinnot blended
2 listings · Any condition · 5d ago
$443.46
SEK 4,410
median SEK 4,770
SEK 4,050–SEK 4,770
eBay soldliveestimatenot blended
11 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 19d ago
$573.44
median $299.99
$100.00–$2,000

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 64 · PSA 10 price $11,273 · float $721,471+13% vs EX Series curve#13 of 22 in era · slope +1.71
64 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $11,273; that is 13% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 13 of 22, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +1.71, R² 0.23, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-40% from $490 (2026-07-31)supply 0% · flat
Observed raw near-mint $292 on 2026-10-19 against a window high of $490 on 2026-07-31: 40% below it, deep enough for the drawdown screen. PSA 10 population went 64 → 64 (0%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationEX Dragon Frontiers: top-3 share 60% · HHI 0.21outside the set's top 3
Outside EX Dragon Frontiers's top 3, which together hold 60% of a $8,246 set value over 101 cards (HHI 0.21, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 4,770 kr ≈ $480 · 2 asks · 2026-10-24 · under the screen's 3-listing threshold+64% vs US market $292+60% vs eBay sold median $300 (11 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
2 Swedish asks with a median of 4,770 kr ≈ $480 on 2026-10-24, 64% above the US near-mint market of $292 (2026-10-19), and 60% above the eBay sold median of $300 (11 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; under three asks, so the screen shows it unranked.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.