PokémonRare Holo

Ampharos δ

EX Dragon Frontiers · #1 · 2006

Blended market value

$71.60+4.6% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 10d ago

Price history

Latest

$71.60

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
52 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 10d ago
$71.60
Traderaliveasksnot blended
3 listings · Any condition · 2d ago
$105.17
SEK 1,047
median SEK 999.00
SEK 499.00–SEK 1,643
eBay soldlivenot blended
4 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 19d ago
$83.35
median $83.35
$66.71–$100.00

Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 22 · PSA 10 price $3,163 · float $69,593+97% vs EX Series curve#19 of 22 in era · slope +1.71
22 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $3,163; that is 97% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 19 of 22, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +1.71, R² 0.23, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-290% from $71.60 (2026-10-19)supply 0% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $71.60 on 2026-10-19 against a window high of $71.60 on 2026-10-19: level with it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 22 → 22 (0%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationEX Dragon Frontiers: top-3 share 60% · HHI 0.21outside the set's top 3
Outside EX Dragon Frontiers's top 3, which together hold 60% of a $8,246 set value over 101 cards (HHI 0.21, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 999 kr ≈ $100 · 3 asks · 2026-10-27+40% vs US market $71.60+20% vs eBay sold median $83.35 (4 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
3 Swedish asks with a median of 999 kr ≈ $100 on 2026-10-27, 40% above the US near-mint market of $71.60 (2026-10-19), and 20% above the eBay sold median of $83.35 (4 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.