PokémonRare Holo

Ninetales δ

EX Dragon Frontiers · #8 · 2006

Blended market value

$181.53-6.1% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 10d ago

Price history

Latest

$181.53

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
38 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 10d ago
$181.53
Traderaliveasksnot blended
3 listings · Any condition · 3d ago
$153.58
SEK 1,527
median SEK 1,600
SEK 743.00–SEK 2,239
eBay soldlivenot blended
10 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 20d ago
$240.34
median $217.48
$79.99–$400.00

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 46 · PSA 10 price $4,987 (thin comp) · float $229,414-12% vs EX Series curve#8 of 22 in era · slope +1.71
46 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $4,987 (thin: under three sales); that is 12% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 8 of 22, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +1.71, R² 0.23, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-37% from $290 (2026-07-26)supply 0% · flat
Observed raw near-mint $182 on 2026-10-19 against a window high of $290 on 2026-07-26: 37% below it, deep enough for the drawdown screen. PSA 10 population went 46 → 46 (0%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationEX Dragon Frontiers: top-3 share 60% · HHI 0.21outside the set's top 3
Outside EX Dragon Frontiers's top 3, which together hold 60% of a $8,246 set value over 101 cards (HHI 0.21, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 1,600 kr ≈ $161 · 3 asks · 2026-10-26-11% vs US market $182-26% vs eBay sold median $217 (10 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
3 Swedish asks with a median of 1,600 kr ≈ $161 on 2026-10-26, 11% below the US near-mint market of $182 (2026-10-19), and 26% below the eBay sold median of $217 (10 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.