PokémonRare Holo

Nidoking δ

EX Dragon Frontiers · #6 · 2006

Blended market value

$64.26+6.7% 30d

1 observed, 2 thin · read 10d ago

Price history

Latest

$64.26

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
59 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 10d ago
$64.26
Traderalivethinnot blended
1 listings · Any condition · 5d ago
$66.27
SEK 659.00
median SEK 659.00
SEK 659.00–SEK 659.00
eBay soldliveestimatenot blended
11 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 19d ago
$123.91
median $90.00
$15.00–$300.00

Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 36 · PSA 10 price $6,744 (thin comp) · float $242,789+81% vs EX Series curve#17 of 22 in era · slope +1.71
36 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $6,744 (thin: under three sales); that is 81% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 17 of 22, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +1.71, R² 0.23, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-290% from $64.26 (2026-10-19)supply 0% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $64.26 on 2026-10-19 against a window high of $64.26 on 2026-10-19: level with it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 36 → 36 (0%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationEX Dragon Frontiers: top-3 share 60% · HHI 0.21outside the set's top 3
Outside EX Dragon Frontiers's top 3, which together hold 60% of a $8,246 set value over 101 cards (HHI 0.21, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 659 kr ≈ $66.27 · 1 ask · 2026-10-24 · under the screen's 3-listing threshold+3% vs US market $64.26-26% vs eBay sold median $90.00 (11 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
1 Swedish ask with a median of 659 kr ≈ $66.27 on 2026-10-24, 3% above the US near-mint market of $64.26 (2026-10-19), and 26% below the eBay sold median of $90.00 (11 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; under three asks, so the screen shows it unranked.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.