PokémonRare Holo

Milotic δ

EX Dragon Frontiers · #5 · 2006

Blended market value

$106.17-0.6% 30d

1 observed, 2 thin · read 10d ago

Price history

Latest

$106.17

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
74 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 10d ago
$106.17
Traderaliveasksnot blended
6 listings · Any condition · 5d ago
$60.40
SEK 600.67
median SEK 690.00
SEK 247.00–SEK 989.00
eBay soldlivethinnot blended
2 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 19d ago
$99.63
median $99.63
$33.00–$166.25

Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 27 · PSA 10 price $2,144 · float $57,888-6% vs EX Series curve#9 of 22 in era · slope +1.71
27 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $2,144; that is 6% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 9 of 22, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +1.71, R² 0.23, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-11% from $119 (2026-07-23)supply 0% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $106 on 2026-10-19 against a window high of $119 on 2026-07-23: 11% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 27 → 27 (0%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationEX Dragon Frontiers: top-3 share 60% · HHI 0.21outside the set's top 3
Outside EX Dragon Frontiers's top 3, which together hold 60% of a $8,246 set value over 101 cards (HHI 0.21, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 690 kr ≈ $69.38 · 6 asks · 2026-10-24-35% vs US market $106-30% vs eBay sold median $99.63 (2 sales, 90 d, thin) · asks, not sales
6 Swedish asks with a median of 690 kr ≈ $69.38 on 2026-10-24, 35% below the US near-mint market of $106 (2026-10-19), and 30% below the eBay sold median of $99.63 (2 sales in 90 days, thin). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.