PokémonMega Hyper Rare

Mega Charizard Y ex

Ascended Heroes · #294 · 2026

Blended market value

$250.46-21.4% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 3d ago

Price history

Latest

$250.46

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
130 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 3d ago
$250.46
Traderaliveasksnot blended
6 listings · Any condition · 3d ago
$419.39
SEK 4,171
median SEK 4,871
SEK 2,749–SEK 5,035
eBay soldlivenot blended
58 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 16d ago
$642.92
median $588.00
$235.50–$1,525

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 1,475 · PSA 10 price $2,511 · float $3,704,079+412% vs Mega Evolution curve#30 of 40 in era · slope -0.16
1,475 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $2,511; that is 412% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 30 of 40, in an era where population barely predicts PSA 10 price (slope -0.16, R² 0.04, scarcer cards costing more).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-63% from $675 (2026-05-22)supply +9%
Observed raw near-mint $250 on 2026-10-26 against a window high of $675 on 2026-05-22: 63% below it, deep enough for the drawdown screen. PSA 10 population went 1,350 → 1,475 (+9%), which is not flat, so new slabs are part of the picture.
Chase concentrationAscended Heroes: top-3 share 45% · HHI 0.09outside the set's top 3
Outside Ascended Heroes's top 3, which together hold 45% of a $3,960 set value over 295 cards (HHI 0.09, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 4,871 kr ≈ $490 · 6 asks · 2026-10-26+96% vs US market $250-17% vs eBay sold median $588 (58 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
6 Swedish asks with a median of 4,871 kr ≈ $490 on 2026-10-26, 96% above the US near-mint market of $250 (2026-10-26), and 17% below the eBay sold median of $588 (58 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.