PokémonSpecial Illustration Rare

Steven's Metagross ex

Ascended Heroes · #289 · 2026

Blended market value

$64.32-7.1% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 13d ago

Price history

Latest

$64.32

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
148 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 13d ago
$64.32
Traderaliveasksnot blended
9 listings · Any condition · 7d ago
$94.02
SEK 932.44
median SEK 900.00
SEK 775.00–SEK 1,099
eBay soldlivenot blended
14 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 16d ago
$228.55
median $167.00
$95.00–$525.00

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 2,666 · PSA 10 price $340 · float $906,547-24% vs Mega Evolution curve#16 of 40 in era · slope -0.16
2,666 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $340; that is 24% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 16 of 40, in an era where population barely predicts PSA 10 price (slope -0.16, R² 0.04, scarcer cards costing more).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-41% from $109 (2026-04-13)supply +30%
Observed raw near-mint $64.32 on 2026-10-16 against a window high of $109 on 2026-04-13: 41% below it, deep enough for the drawdown screen. PSA 10 population went 2,052 → 2,666 (+30%), which is not flat, so new slabs are part of the picture.
Chase concentrationAscended Heroes: top-3 share 45% · HHI 0.09outside the set's top 3
Outside Ascended Heroes's top 3, which together hold 45% of a $3,960 set value over 295 cards (HHI 0.09, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 900 kr ≈ $90.75 · 9 asks · 2026-10-22+41% vs US market $64.32-46% vs eBay sold median $167 (14 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
9 Swedish asks with a median of 900 kr ≈ $90.75 on 2026-10-22, 41% above the US near-mint market of $64.32 (2026-10-16), and 46% below the eBay sold median of $167 (14 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.