PokémonSpecial Illustration Rare

Mega Feraligatr ex

Ascended Heroes · #274 · 2026

Blended market value

$81.33-15.8% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 13d ago

Price history

Latest

$81.33

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
167 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 13d ago
$81.33
Traderaliveasksnot blended
13 listings · Any condition · 7d ago
$132.36
SEK 1,313
median SEK 1,364
SEK 999.00–SEK 1,550
eBay soldlivenot blended
11 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 16d ago
$244.89
median $202.50
$125.00–$450.00

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 2,633 · PSA 10 price $355 · float $934,320-20% vs Mega Evolution curve#17 of 40 in era · slope -0.16
2,633 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $355; that is 20% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 17 of 40, in an era where population barely predicts PSA 10 price (slope -0.16, R² 0.04, scarcer cards costing more).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-57% from $189 (2026-06-12)supply +25%
Observed raw near-mint $81.33 on 2026-10-16 against a window high of $189 on 2026-06-12: 57% below it, deep enough for the drawdown screen. PSA 10 population went 2,104 → 2,633 (+25%), which is not flat, so new slabs are part of the picture.
Chase concentrationAscended Heroes: top-3 share 45% · HHI 0.09outside the set's top 3
Outside Ascended Heroes's top 3, which together hold 45% of a $3,960 set value over 295 cards (HHI 0.09, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 1,364 kr ≈ $138 · 13 asks · 2026-10-22+69% vs US market $81.33-32% vs eBay sold median $203 (11 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
13 Swedish asks with a median of 1,364 kr ≈ $138 on 2026-10-22, 69% above the US near-mint market of $81.33 (2026-10-16), and 32% below the eBay sold median of $203 (11 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.