PokémonShiny Rare

Mimikyu

Paldean Fates · #160 · 2024

Blended market value

$46.80-5.9% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 6d ago

Price history

Latest

$46.80

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
82 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 6d ago
$46.80
Traderaliveasksnot blended
3 listings · Any condition · 8d ago
$48.53
SEK 481.33
median SEK 450.00
SEK 444.00–SEK 550.00
eBay soldlivenot blended
6 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 18d ago
$79.20
median $33.00
$30.00–$175.00

Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 497 · PSA 10 price $456 · float $226,856+167% vs Scarlet & Violet curve#72 of 77 in era · slope +0.30
497 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $456; that is 167% above what this era's population curve predicts, rank 72 of 77, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.30, R² 0.14, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-31% from $67.45 (2026-05-01)supply +2% · flat
Observed raw near-mint $46.80 on 2026-10-23 against a window high of $67.45 on 2026-05-01: 31% below it, deep enough for the drawdown screen. PSA 10 population went 486 → 497 (+2%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationPaldean Fates: top-3 share 51% · HHI 0.14outside the set's top 3
Outside Paldean Fates's top 3, which together hold 51% of a $2,464 set value over 245 cards (HHI 0.14, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 450 kr ≈ $45.37 · 3 asks · 2026-10-21-3% vs US market $46.80+37% vs eBay sold median $33.00 (6 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
3 Swedish asks with a median of 450 kr ≈ $45.37 on 2026-10-21, 3% below the US near-mint market of $46.80 (2026-10-23), and 37% above the eBay sold median of $33.00 (6 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.