PokémonRare Rainbow

Giratina VSTAR

Lost Origin · #201 · 2022

Blended market value

$23.92-16.7% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 4d ago

Price history

Latest

$23.92

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
79 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 4d ago
$23.92
Traderalivethinnot blended
1 listings · Any condition · 1d ago
$18.62
SEK 185.00
median SEK 185.00
SEK 185.00–SEK 185.00
eBay soldlivenot blended
22 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 18d ago
$79.38
median $75.50
$18.00–$169.99

Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 1,420 · PSA 10 price $116 · float $165,032-10% vs Sword & Shield curve#44 of 82 in era · slope +0.46
1,420 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $116; that is 10% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 44 of 82, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.46, R² 0.26, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-18% from $29.17 (2026-09-05)supply +1% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $23.92 on 2026-10-25 against a window high of $29.17 on 2026-09-05: 18% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 1,408 → 1,420 (+1%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationLost Origin: top-3 share 78% · HHI 0.40outside the set's top 3
Outside Lost Origin's top 3, which together hold 78% of a $1,347 set value over 217 cards (HHI 0.40, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 185 kr ≈ $18.62 · 1 ask · 2026-10-28 · under the screen's 3-listing threshold-22% vs US market $23.92-75% vs eBay sold median $75.50 (22 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
1 Swedish ask with a median of 185 kr ≈ $18.62 on 2026-10-28, 22% below the US near-mint market of $23.92 (2026-10-25), and 75% below the eBay sold median of $75.50 (22 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; under three asks, so the screen shows it unranked.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.