PokémonRare Secret

Lugia VSTAR

Silver Tempest · #211 · 2022

Blended market value

$25.23-5.2% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 3d ago

Price history

Latest

$25.23

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
100 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 3d ago
$25.23
Traderalivethinnot blended
1 listings · Any condition · 15d ago
$40.07
SEK 400.00
median SEK 400.00
SEK 400.00–SEK 400.00
eBay soldlivenot blended
38 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 18d ago
$98.94
median $101.25
$15.00–$180.00

Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 4,766 · PSA 10 price $124 · float $590,793-45% vs Sword & Shield curve#18 of 82 in era · slope +0.46
4,766 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $124; that is 45% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 18 of 82, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.46, R² 0.26, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-12% from $28.81 (2026-08-29)supply +0% · flat · under the screen's 30% threshold
Observed raw near-mint $25.23 on 2026-10-26 against a window high of $28.81 on 2026-08-29: 12% below it, inside the screen's 30% threshold. PSA 10 population went 4,747 → 4,766 (+0%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationSilver Tempest: top-3 share 59% · HHI 0.27outside the set's top 3
Outside Silver Tempest's top 3, which together hold 59% of a $898 set value over 215 cards (HHI 0.27, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 400 kr ≈ $40.07 · 1 ask · 2026-10-14 · under the screen's 3-listing threshold+59% vs US market $25.23-60% vs eBay sold median $101 (38 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
1 Swedish ask with a median of 400 kr ≈ $40.07 on 2026-10-14, 59% above the US near-mint market of $25.23 (2026-10-26), and 60% below the eBay sold median of $101 (38 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales; under three asks, so the screen shows it unranked.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.