PokémonIllustration Rare

Misty's Lapras

Destined Rivals · #194 · 2025

Blended market value

$20.01-26.0% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 4d ago

Price history

Latest

$20.01

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
401 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 4d ago
$20.01
Traderaliveasksnot blended
14 listings · Any condition · 8d ago
$42.78
SEK 422.57
median SEK 415.00
SEK 325.00–SEK 604.00
eBay soldlivenot blended
84 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 18d ago
$91.39
median $43.75
$21.51–$395.00

Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 3,540 · PSA 10 price $283 · float $1,001,006-8% vs Scarlet & Violet curve#37 of 77 in era · slope +0.30
3,540 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $283; that is 8% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 37 of 77, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.30, R² 0.14, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-56% from $45.09 (2026-06-19)supply +1% · flat
Observed raw near-mint $20.01 on 2026-10-25 against a window high of $45.09 on 2026-06-19: 56% below it, deep enough for the drawdown screen. PSA 10 population went 3,488 → 3,540 (+1%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationDestined Rivals: top-3 share 47% · HHI 0.10outside the set's top 3
Outside Destined Rivals's top 3, which together hold 47% of a $1,345 set value over 244 cards (HHI 0.10, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 415 kr ≈ $42.01 · 14 asks · 2026-10-21+110% vs US market $20.01-4% vs eBay sold median $43.74 (84 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
14 Swedish asks with a median of 415 kr ≈ $42.01 on 2026-10-21, 110% above the US near-mint market of $20.01 (2026-10-25), and 4% below the eBay sold median of $43.74 (84 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.