PokémonIllustration Rare

Misty's Psyduck

Destined Rivals · #193 · 2025

Blended market value

$46.49-11.1% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 4d ago

Price history

Latest

$46.49

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
289 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 4d ago
$46.49
Traderaliveasksnot blended
8 listings · Any condition · 8d ago
$86.83
SEK 857.75
median SEK 792.00
SEK 649.00–SEK 1,699
eBay soldlivenot blended
119 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 18d ago
$71.45
median $65.00
$39.95–$150.00

Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 8,269 · PSA 10 price $380 · float $3,142,716-3% vs Scarlet & Violet curve#44 of 77 in era · slope +0.30
8,269 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $380; that is 3% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 44 of 77, in an era where population only loosely predicts PSA 10 price (slope +0.30, R² 0.14, the most-graded cards costing most).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-45% from $84.19 (2026-06-10)supply +2% · flat
Observed raw near-mint $46.49 on 2026-10-25 against a window high of $84.19 on 2026-06-10: 45% below it, deep enough for the drawdown screen. PSA 10 population went 8,100 → 8,269 (+2%), flat by the screen's rule, so the fall is not a supply story.
Chase concentrationDestined Rivals: top-3 share 47% · HHI 0.10outside the set's top 3
Outside Destined Rivals's top 3, which together hold 47% of a $1,345 set value over 244 cards (HHI 0.10, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 792 kr ≈ $80.17 · 8 asks · 2026-10-21+72% vs US market $46.49+23% vs eBay sold median $65.00 (119 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
8 Swedish asks with a median of 792 kr ≈ $80.17 on 2026-10-21, 72% above the US near-mint market of $46.49 (2026-10-25), and 23% above the eBay sold median of $65.00 (119 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.