PokémonIllustration Rare

Meowth

Phantasmal Flames · #106 · 2025

Blended market value

$14.07+0.4% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 4d ago

Price history

Latest

$14.07

Average per source

PokemonPriceTrackerlive
471 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 4d ago
$14.07
Traderaliveasksnot blended
16 listings · Any condition · 8d ago
$50.00
SEK 493.94
median SEK 350.00
SEK 160.00–SEK 1,350
eBay soldlivenot blended
167 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 18d ago
$68.78
median $42.11
$15.50–$220.00

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

Signals

how these are computed →

Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 16,023 · PSA 10 price $198 · float $3,167,427-40% vs Mega Evolution curve#12 of 40 in era · slope -0.16
16,023 PSA 10s exist and the last PSA 10 comp was $198; that is 40% below what this era's population curve predicts, rank 12 of 40, in an era where population barely predicts PSA 10 price (slope -0.16, R² 0.04, scarcer cards costing more).
Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29-62% from $37.11 (2026-05-19)supply +10%
Observed raw near-mint $14.07 on 2026-10-25 against a window high of $37.11 on 2026-05-19: 62% below it, deep enough for the drawdown screen. PSA 10 population went 14,543 → 16,023 (+10%), which is not flat, so new slabs are part of the picture.
Chase concentrationPhantasmal Flames: top-3 share 83% · HHI 0.41outside the set's top 3
Outside Phantasmal Flames's top 3, which together hold 83% of a $965 set value over 130 cards (HHI 0.41, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).
Region spreadTradera median 350 kr ≈ $35.43 · 16 asks · 2026-10-21+152% vs US market $14.07-16% vs eBay sold median $42.11 (167 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales
16 Swedish asks with a median of 350 kr ≈ $35.43 on 2026-10-21, 152% above the US near-mint market of $14.07 (2026-10-25), and 16% below the eBay sold median of $42.11 (167 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above

PSA 10 pop: The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp: An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope: b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float: PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI: Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread: Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales: Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.