CardGameInsight
PokémonChase cardSpecial Illustration Rare

Gengar ex

30th Celebration · #154 · 2026

The second most valuable card in the set by TCGplayer market on 25 Sept 2026 ($126 raw). No population read yet.

Blended market value

$67.90-24.7% 30d

1 observed, 1 thin · read 11h ago

Price history

2026-09-252026-10-28

Latest

$66.44

Average per source

  • 185 listings · Raw · Near Mint · 11h ago

    $67.90

  • Traderaliveasksnot blended

    25 listings · Any condition · 11h ago

    $96.08

    SEK 954.20

    median SEK 900.00

    SEK 313.00–SEK 1,402

  • eBay soldlivenot blended

    6 sales, 90 days · Any condition · 21d ago

    $497.28

    median $343.28

    $267.00–$1,100

3 estimator rows for unkeyed sources not shown: once a live source has reported they carry no weight in the headline. Every value above is an observed read from the source named on its row; rows marked not blended are shown for comparison only.

  • Pop-adjusted valuePSA 10 pop 1,440 · PSA 10 price $1,088 · float $1,566,259outside the fit

    1,440 PSA 10s exist (a placeholder count, not a read) and the last PSA 10 comp was $1,088; a modelled input keeps it outside the fit, so it is listed below the 34 fitted Mega Evolution cards without a distance from the curve.

  • Drawdown vs popwindow 2026-03-18 → 2026-10-29within 30% of its window high

    Not on the drawdown screen: the card is within 30% of its window high. The exact distance appears once the nightly report is regenerated.

  • Chase concentration30th Celebration: top-3 share 95% · HHI 0.30outside the set's top 3

    Outside 30th Celebration's top 3, which together hold 95% of a $12,598 set value over 161 cards (HHI 0.30, where 1.0 would be one card being the whole set).

  • Region spreadTradera median 900 kr ≈ $90.62 · 25 asks · 2026-10-28+33% vs US market $67.90-74% vs eBay sold median $343 (6 sales, 90 d) · asks, not sales

    25 Swedish asks with a median of 900 kr ≈ $90.62 on 2026-10-28, 33% above the US near-mint market of $67.90 (2026-10-28), and 74% below the eBay sold median of $343 (6 sales in 90 days). Asks, not sales.

Terms used above
PSA 10 pop
The number of copies PSA has graded a 10, read by hand from public GemRate-sourced reports on a stated date.
thin comp
An observed PSA 10 price built on fewer than three eBay sales, or one the source flags as an outlier. It is in the fit, but it is one comp, not a market.
slope
b in the era's fit ln(price) = a + b · ln(pop). Negative: scarcer cards cost more. Positive: the most-graded cards cost most, so population is tracking demand rather than scarcity.
float
PSA 10 price × PSA 10 population: the market value of every PSA 10 of the card in existence. A small float is a thin market in both directions.
HHI
Herfindahl–Hirschman index: the sum of every card's squared share of the set's value, from near 0 (value spread evenly) to 1.0 (one card is the whole set).
spread
Tradera median in dollars ÷ US market − 1. Negative means the Swedish asks sit below the US near-mint market, before postage, VAT and duty, none of which is subtracted.
asks, not sales
Tradera figures are live asking prices (plus bids on auctions closing within a day), not completed sales. An ask nobody meets is not a price, and asks run above what sells.

Card details

Set
30th Celebration
Era
Mega Evolution
Number
154/128
Rarity
Special Illustration Rare
Artist
CHORISO
Released
Sep 16, 2026

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